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The US treasury market in August 1998: untangling the effects of Hong Kong and Russia with high-frequency data

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Author Info
Mardi Dungey (CFAP, University of Cambridge, UK)
Charles Goodhart (Financial Markets Group, London School of Economics, UK)
Demosthenes Tambakis

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Abstract

The second half of August 1998 was dominated by two events. From 14 to 28 August, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) intervened in Hong Kong equity markets to prevent a speculative double play against their currency board. On 17 August, Russia announced its default on sovereign bonds. This paper demonstrates that the HKMA interventions had a substantial impact on the outcomes for US Treasury markets during this period using a careful analysis of high-frequency bond market data. On this evidence the shocks emanating from Hong Kong provided liquidity to the US Treasury market when it was most needed. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1002/ijfe.356
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Publisher Info
Article provided by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. in its journal International Journal of Finance & Economics.

Volume (Year): 13 (2008)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 40-52
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Handle: RePEc:ijf:ijfiec:v:13:y:2008:i:1:p:40-52

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  1. L. Vanessa Smith & Demosthenes Tambakis, 2008. "Testing for changing persistence in US Treasury on/off spreads under weighted-symmetric estimation," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 14(2), pages 75-89. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Michael J. Fleming & Eli M. Remolona, 1997. "What moves the bond market?," Research Paper 9706, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. T. Clifton Green, 2004. "Economic News and the Impact of Trading on Bond Prices," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 59(3), pages 1201-1234, 06. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Van Rijckeghem, Caroline & Weder, Beatrice, 2003. "Spillovers through banking centers: a panel data analysis of bank flows," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 483-509, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Michael J. Fleming, 1997. "The round-the-clock market for U.S. Treasury securities," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue Jul, pages 9-32. [Downloadable!]
  7. Tarun Chordia & Asani Sarkar & Avanidhar Subrahmanyam, 2003. "An empirical analysis of stock and bond market liquidity," Staff Reports 164, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
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  11. Tarun Chordia, 2005. "An Empirical Analysis of Stock and Bond Market Liquidity," Review of Financial Studies, Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 18(1), pages 85-129. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  14. Michael J. Fleming, 2003. "Measuring treasury market liquidity," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue Sep, pages 83-108. [Downloadable!]
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  15. J. Doyne Farmer & Laszlo Gillemot & Fabrizio Lillo & Szabolcs Mike & Anindya Sen, 2003. "What really causes large price changes?," Quantitative Finance Papers cond-mat/0312703, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2004. [Downloadable!]
  16. Michael W. Brandt & Kenneth A. Kavajecz, 2004. "Price Discovery in the U.S. Treasury Market: The Impact of Orderflow and Liquidity on the Yield Curve," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 59(6), pages 2623-2654, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  17. Dungey, Mardi & Fry, Renee & Gonzalez-Hermosillo, Brenda & Martin, Vance, 2006. "Contagion in international bond markets during the Russian and the LTCM crises," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 1-27, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  18. Philippe Jorion, 2000. "Risk management lessons from Long‐Term Capital Management," European Financial Management, Blackwell Publishing Ltd, vol. 6(3), pages 277-300. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  19. Amihud, Yakov & Mendelson, Haim, 1991. " Liquidity, Maturity, and the Yields on U.S. Treasury Securities," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(4), pages 1411-25, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  20. Hasbrouck, Joel & Seppi, Duane J., 2001. "Common factors in prices, order flows, and liquidity," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(3), pages 383-411, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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