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The Importance of Real and Nominal Shocks on the UK Housing Market

Author

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  • Seema Narayan

    (Senior Lecturer in Economics, RMIT University, Australia)

  • Paresh Kumar Narayan

    (Faculty of Business and Law, Deakin University, Australia)

Abstract

The goal of this paper is to examine the responsiveness of the UK housing market to real and nominal shocks. To achieve this goal, we use a structural VAR model based on quarterly data for the period 1957:1¡V2009:4. We find that, in response to an interest rate shock, aggregate and modern house prices fall sharply over the first 4 years and do not recover to their pre-shock level. In response to a real GDP shock, both house prices react in a positive inverted U-shaped manner. Finally, we find that an inflation shock has a U-shaped negative impact on aggregate and modern house prices in the UK.

Suggested Citation

  • Seema Narayan & Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2011. "The Importance of Real and Nominal Shocks on the UK Housing Market," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 10(3), pages 219-234, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:ijb:journl:v:10:y:2011:i:3:p:219-234
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Chris Hudson & John Hudson & Bruce Morley, 2018. "Differing house price linkages across UK regions: A multi-dimensional recursive ripple model," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 55(8), pages 1636-1654, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    housing market; UK; interest rate; real GDP; inflation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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