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The Cyclical Effects Of Monetary Policy Regimes

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  • Scott J. Dressler

Abstract

A 1979 change in U.S. monetary policy coincided with a break in the cyclical behavior of monetary aggregates, while the cyclical behavior of all other real and nominal variables remained relatively constant. A model is developed to assess the quantitative importance of a change in monetary policy in accounting for these observations. The monetary authority's reaction function is estimated conditionally on the theoretical model and accounts for upward of 72-95% of all observed changes, including inside money preceding the business cycle and a qualitative change in the cyclical behavior of the monetary base. Copyright 2007 by the Economics Department Of The University Of Pennsylvania And Osaka University Institute Of Social And Economic Research Association.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association in its journal International Economic Review.

Volume (Year): 48 (2007)
Issue (Month): 2 (05)
Pages: 551-573

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Handle: RePEc:ier:iecrev:v:48:y:2007:i:2:p:551-573

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Cited by:
  1. Dressler, Scott J. & Li, Victor E., 2009. "Inside money, credit, and investment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 970-984, April.
  2. Sustek, Roman, 2010. "Monetary aggregates and the business cycle," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(4), pages 451-465, May.
  3. repec:eee:deveco:v:99:y:2012:i:2:p:358-369 is not listed on IDEAS
  4. H. Murat Ozbilgin, 2010. "Welfare Gains from Disinflation in an Economy With Currency Substitution (Para Ikamesinin Oldugu Bir Ekonomide Enflasyonun Dusurulmesinden Kaynaklanan Refah Kazanimlari)," Working Papers 1009, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  5. Scott J. Dressler & Erasmus K. Kersting, 2012. "Economies of Scale in Banking, Confidence Shocks, and Business Cycles," Villanova School of Business Department of Economics and Statistics Working Paper Series 18, Villanova School of Business Department of Economics and Statistics.

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