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Exchange-rate regimes and output volatility: empirical investigation with panel data

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  • Marjan Petreski

Abstract

The study aims to explore the relationship between exchange-rate regimes and output volatility, building on the flaws of the existing, though scarce literature. It discusses the measure of output volatility; explores the endogeneity bias doubted to be present in the literature; tests non-dynamic vs. dynamic model. The empirical investigation covers the post-Bretton-Woods era (1976–2006) and includes 169 countries. It is found that sufficiently large terms-of-trade shocks will spur output volatility under fixed, limited-flexible and flexible exchange-rate regime as compared with a floating regime, but the marginal effect is estimated to be the most severe under a peg (longer than five years).

Suggested Citation

  • Marjan Petreski, 2010. "Exchange-rate regimes and output volatility: empirical investigation with panel data," International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 3(1), pages 69-99.
    • Handle: RePEc:ids:ijmefi:v:3:y:2010:i:1:p:69-99
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Lahura, Erick & Vega, Marco, 2013. "Regímenes cambiarios y desempeño macroeconómico: Una evaluación de la literatura," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 26, pages 101-119.
    2. Sushil Kumar Rai & Akhilesh Kumar Sharma, 2023. "Forecasting Exchange Rate Volatility In India Under Univariate And Multivariate Analysis," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 26(1), pages 175-190.
    3. Marjan Petreski, 2010. "An Overhaul of a Doctrine: Has Inflation Targeting Opened a New Era in Developing-country Peggers?," FIW Working Paper series 057, FIW.
    4. Marjan Petreski, 2009. "A Critique On Inflation Targeting," Journal Articles, Center For Economic Analyses, pages 11-24, December.
    5. Wong, Sara A. & Petreski, Marjan, 2014. "Dutch Disease in Latin American countries: De-industrialization, how it happens, crisis, and the role of China," MPRA Paper 57056, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Marjan Petreski, 2011. "A Markov Switch to Inflation Targeting in Emerging Market Peggers with a Focus on the Czech Republic, Poland and Hungary," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 3, pages 57-75.

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