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Financial Liberalization and the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy on House Prices in South Africa

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  • Ndahiriwe Kasai
  • Rangan Gupta

Abstract

This paper investigates the effectiveness of monetary policy on house prices in South Africa before and after financial liberalization, with financial liberalization being identified with the recommendations of the De Kock Commission in 1985. Using both impulse response and variance decomposition analyses performed on Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) models, the paper finds that irrespective of house sizes, during the period of financial liberalization, interest rate shocks had relatively stronger effects on house price inflation. However, given that the size of these effects was nearly negligible, the result seems to indicate that house prices are exogenous and, at least, are not driven by monetary policy shocks.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by IUP Publications in its journal The IUP Journal of Monetary Economics.

Volume (Year): VIII (2010)
Issue (Month): 4 (November)
Pages: 59-74

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Handle: RePEc:icf:icfjmo:v:08:y:2010:i:3:p:59-74

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Cited by:
  1. Rangan Gupta & Marius Jurgilas & Alain Kabundi & Stephen M. Miller, 2011. "Monetary policy and housing sector dynamics in a large-scale Bayesian vector autoregressive model," International Journal of Strategic Property Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(1), pages 1-20, August.
  2. Rangan Gupta & Marius Jurgilas & Stephen M. Miller & Dylan van Wyk, 2010. "Financial Market Liberalization, Monetary Policy, and Housing Price Dynamics," Working Papers 201009, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  3. Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Stephen M. Miller & Zeynel A. Ozdemir, 2012. "Fiscal Policy Shocks and the Dynamics of Asset Prices: The South African Experience," Working Papers 201228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  4. Simo-Kengne, Beatrice D. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Reid, Monique & Aye, Goodness C., 2013. "Is the relationship between monetary policy and house prices asymmetric across bull and bear markets in South Africa? Evidence from a Markov-switching vector autoregressive model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 161-171.
  5. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Monique Reid & Goodness C. Aye, 2012. "Is The Relationship Between Monetary Policy And House Prices Asymmetric In South Africa? Evidence From A Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201222, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  6. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta & Goodness C. Aye, 2013. "Macro Shocks And House Prices In South Africa," Working Papers 201302, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  7. Alexander Zimper, 2013. "The minimal confidence levels of Basel capital regulation," Working Papers 201305, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  8. Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Kanyane Matlou, 2013. "A Time-Varying Approach to Analysing Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices in South Africa," Working Papers 201303, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

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