The Effects of Oil Price Shocks on real GDP in Iran
AbstractIn this paper, the asymmetric effects of oil price shocks on GDP have been investigated by co-integration analysis in Iran economy during the period 1960-2010. We used Hodrick-Prescott filtering to separate positive shocks from negative shocks. The results showed that in long run the negative shocks have stronger effects on output than positive ones that can have damaging repercussions on economic growth. The findings have practical policy implications for decision makers in the area of macroeconomic planning. The use of stabilization and savings funds and diversification of the real sector seems crucial to minimize the harmful effects of oil booms and busts.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Faculty of Economic Sciences, Hyperion University of Bucharest, Romania in its journal Hyperion Economic Journal.
Volume (Year): 1 (2013)
Issue (Month): 3 (September)
Contact details of provider:
Postal: Hyperion University, Faculty of Economic Sciences, Calea Calarasilor no. 169, district 3, Bucharest, 030615, Romania
Web page: http://www.econ.hyperion.ro/
More information through EDIRC
lead; real GDP; Iran economy; asymmetric effects; oil price shocks; Johansen cointegration test;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models &bull Diffusion Processes
- E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
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