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Modelización semiparamétrica y validación teórica del método de valoración contingente. Aplicación de un algoritmo genético

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  • Marcos Alvarez Díaz

    (Universidad de Vigo)

  • Manuel González Gómez

    (Universidad de Vigo)

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    Abstract

    En este trabajo aplicamos una novedosa técnica capaz de modelizar y predecir la disposición a pagar de un visitante por mantener el actual nivel de protección de tres islas del Parque Nacional de las Illas Atlánticas de Galicia (en concreto, las conocidas como Islas Cíes). El procedimiento, denominado Algoritmo Genético o Evolutivo, está inspirado en la genética y en las teorías darwinianas de supervivencia y selección natural. Los resultados obtenidos se comparan con las técnicas tradicionales tanto en términos de porcentajes de aciertos como en términos de las variables finalmente seleccionadas. Classification-JEL : C14, Q26.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by IEF in its journal Hacienda Pública Española/Revista de Economía Pública.

    Volume (Year): 164 (2003)
    Issue (Month): 1 (march)
    Pages: 29-47

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    Handle: RePEc:hpe:journl:y:2003:v:164:i:1:p:29-47

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    Related research

    Keywords: método de valoración contingente; validez teórica; algoritmos genéticos;

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    1. M. A. Kaboudan, 2000. "Genetic Programming Prediction of Stock Prices," Computational Economics, Society for Computational Economics, vol. 16(3), pages 207-236, December.
    2. Allen, Franklin & Karjalainen, Risto, 1999. "Using genetic algorithms to find technical trading rules," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 245-271, February.
    3. Creel, M. & Loomis, J., 1995. "Semi-Nonparametric Distribution-Free Dichotomous Choice Contingent Valuation," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 273.94, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC).
    4. Salvador Del Saz-Salazar & Leandro Garcia-Menendez, 2001. "Willingness to Pay for Environmental Improvements in a Large City Evidence from The Spike Model and From a Non-Parametric Approach," Environmental & Resource Economics, European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 20(2), pages 103-112, October.
    5. Dittmar, Robert & Neely, Christopher J & Weller, Paul, 1996. "Is Technical Analysis in the Foreign Exchange Market Profitable? A Genetic Programming Approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 1480, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. Bengt Kristrom, 1990. "A Non-Parametric Approach to the Estimation of Welfare Measures in Discrete Response Valuation Studies," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 66(2), pages 135-139.
    7. Pesaran, M Hashem & Timmermann, Allan, 1992. "A Simple Nonparametric Test of Predictive Performance," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 10(4), pages 561-65, October.
    8. Creel, Michael, 1998. "A Note on Consistent Estimation of Mean WTP Using a Misspecified Logit Contingent Valuation Model," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 277-284, May.
    9. Bengt Kriström, 1993. "Comparing continuous and discrete contingent valuation questions," Environmental & Resource Economics, European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 3(1), pages 63-71, February.
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