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A Markov Regime-Switching Marked Point Process for Short-Rate Analysis with Credit Risk

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  • Tak Kuen Siu

Abstract

We investigate a Markov, regime-switching, marked point process for the short-term interest rate in a market. The intensity of the marked point process is a bounded, predictable process and is modulated by two observable factors. One is an economic factor described by a diffusion process, and another one is described by a Markov chain. The states of the chain are interpreted as different rating categories of corporate credit ratings issued by rating agencies. We consider a general pricing kernel which can explicitly price economic, market, and credit risks. It is shown that the price of a pure discount bond satisfies a system of coupled partial differential-integral equations under a risk-adjusted measure.

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  • Tak Kuen Siu, 2010. "A Markov Regime-Switching Marked Point Process for Short-Rate Analysis with Credit Risk," International Journal of Stochastic Analysis, Hindawi, vol. 2010, pages 1-18, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:hin:jnijsa:870516
    DOI: 10.1155/2010/870516
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    Cited by:

    1. López, Oscar & Oleaga, Gerardo & Sánchez, Alejandra, 2021. "Markov-modulated jump-diffusion models for the short rate: Pricing of zero coupon bonds and convexity adjustment," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 395(C).

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