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Redistribution and military coups

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  • Cuesta, Jose

Abstract

This paper explores the link between redistribution and coups, typically overlooked in the coup literature dealing with incomes, growth and, recently, inequality. The model features three agents — government, opposition, and the military — and maximizes their utilities under two possible scenarios: peace and coup. Using real data from Honduras, the welfare losses associated with a breach of the country’s social contract are estimated to exceed 11 percent of gross domestic product for the opposition to conspire to stage a coup.

Suggested Citation

  • Cuesta, Jose, 2017. "Redistribution and military coups," International Journal of Development and Conflict, Gokhale Institute of Politics and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 12-31.
  • Handle: RePEc:gok:ijdcv1:v:7:y:2017:i:1:p:12-31
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cuesta, Jose, 2006. "Political Space, Pro-Poor Growth and Poverty Reduction Strategy in Honduras," MPRA Paper 12354, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    8. Jose Cuesta & Syed Mansoob Murshed, 2012. "On the micro-foundations of contract versus conflict with implications for international peace-making," International Journal of Development and Conflict, Gokhale Institute of Politics and Economics, vol. 2(2), pages 1250009-125.
    9. Tony Addison & Philippe Le Billon & S. Mansoob Murshed, 2002. "Conflict in Africa: The Cost of Peaceful Behaviour," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 11(3), pages 365-386, September.
    10. de Mesquita, Bruce Bueno & Siverson, Randolph M. & Woller, Gary, 1992. "War and the Fate of Regimes: A Comparative Analysis," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 86(3), pages 638-646, September.
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