IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jjrfmx/v13y2020i7p148-d381691.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Return and Volatility Transmission between World-Leading and Latin American Stock Markets: Portfolio Implications

Author

Listed:
  • Imran Yousaf

    (Air University School of Management, Air University, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan)

  • Shoaib Ali

    (Air University School of Management, Air University, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan)

  • Wing-Keung Wong

    (Department of Finance, Fintech Center, and Big Data Research Center, Asia University, Taichung 41354, Taiwan
    Department of Medical Research, China Medical University Hospital, Taichung 40402, Taiwan
    Department of Economics and Finance, The Hang Seng University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong 999077, China)

Abstract

This study uses the BEKK-GARCH model to examine the return-and-volatility spillover between the world-leading markets (USA and China) and four emerging Latin American stock markets over the global financial crisis of 2008 and the crash of the Chinese stock market of 2015. Regarding return spillover, our findings reveal a unidirectional return transmission from Mexico to the US stock market during the global financial crisis. During the crash of the Chinese stock market, the return spillover is found to be unidirectional from the US to the Brazil, Chile, Mexico, and Peru stock markets. Moreover, the results indicate a unidirectional return transmission from China to the Brazil, Chile, Mexico, and Peru stock markets during the global financial crisis and the crash of the Chinese stock market. Regarding volatility spillover, the results show the bidirectional volatility transmission between the US and the stock markets of Chile and Mexico during the global financial crisis. During the Chinese crash, the bidirectional volatility transmission is observed between the US and Mexican stock markets. Furthermore, the volatility spillover is unidirectional from China to the Brazil stock market during the global financial crisis. During the Chinese crash, the volatility spillover is bidirectional between the China and Brazil stock markets. Lastly, a portfolio analysis application has been conducted.

Suggested Citation

  • Imran Yousaf & Shoaib Ali & Wing-Keung Wong, 2020. "Return and Volatility Transmission between World-Leading and Latin American Stock Markets: Portfolio Implications," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-19, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:13:y:2020:i:7:p:148-:d:381691
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/13/7/148/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/13/7/148/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Engle, Robert F. & Kroner, Kenneth F., 1995. "Multivariate Simultaneous Generalized ARCH," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 11(1), pages 122-150, February.
    2. Simeon Coleman & Vitor Leone & Otavio R. de Medeiros, 2019. "Latin American stock market dynamics and comovement," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(3), pages 1109-1129, July.
    3. Kanokwan Chancharoenchai & Sel Dibooglu, 2006. "Volatility Spillovers and Contagion During the Asian Crisis: Evidence from Six Southeast Asian Stock Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(2), pages 4-17, April.
    4. Gamba-Santamaria, Santiago & Gomez-Gonzalez, Jose Eduardo & Hurtado-Guarin, Jorge Luis & Melo-Velandia, Luis Fernando, 2017. "Stock market volatility spillovers: Evidence for Latin America," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 207-216.
    5. Fathi Abid & Pui Lam Leung & Mourad Mroua & Wing Keung Wong, 2014. "International Diversification Versus Domestic Diversification: Mean-Variance Portfolio Optimization and Stochastic Dominance Approaches," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-22, May.
    6. Meric, Gulser & Leal, Ricardo P. C. & Ratner, Mitchell & Meric, Ilhan, 2001. "Co-movements of U.S. and Latin American equity markets before and after the 1987 crash," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 219-235.
    7. Chang, Chia-Lin & McAleer, Michael & Tansuchat, Roengchai, 2011. "Crude oil hedging strategies using dynamic multivariate GARCH," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 912-923, September.
    8. Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Guangdong Zuo, 2017. "Volatility Spillovers and Causality of Carbon Emissions, Oil and Coal Spot and Futures for the EU and USA," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-22, October.
    9. Xinyu Yuan & Jiechen Tang & Wing-Keung Wong & Songsak Sriboonchitta, 2020. "Modeling Co-Movement among Different Agricultural Commodity Markets: A Copula-GARCH Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-17, January.
    10. Cardona, Laura & Gutiérrez, Marcela & Agudelo, Diego A., 2017. "Volatility transmission between US and Latin American stock markets: Testing the decoupling hypothesis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PA), pages 115-127.
    11. Syriopoulos, Theodore & Makram, Beljid & Boubaker, Adel, 2015. "Stock market volatility spillovers and portfolio hedging: BRICS and the financial crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 7-18.
    12. John Beirne & Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Marianne Schulze-Ghattas & Nicola Spagnolo, 2013. "Volatility Spillovers and Contagion from Mature to Emerging Stock Markets," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(5), pages 1060-1075, November.
    13. Ben Rejeb, Aymen & Arfaoui, Mongi, 2016. "Financial market interdependencies: A quantile regression analysis of volatility spillover," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 140-157.
    14. Roman Horvath & Petr Poldauf, 2012. "International Stock Market Comovements: What Happened during the Financial Crisis?," Global Economy Journal (GEJ), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(1), pages 1-21, March.
    15. Mensi, Walid & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2016. "Global financial crisis and spillover effects among the U.S. and BRICS stock markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 257-276.
    16. Sarwar, Suleman & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Tingqiu, Cao, 2020. "Analyzing volatility spillovers between oil market and Asian stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    17. Wing-Keung Wong & Hooi Hoi Lean & Michael McAleer & Feng-Tse Tsai, 2018. "Why did Warrant Markets Close in China but not Taiwan?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-051/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    18. Zihui Yang & Yinggang Zhou, 2017. "Quantitative Easing and Volatility Spillovers Across Countries and Asset Classes," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(2), pages 333-354, February.
    19. Ahmed, Abdullahi D. & Huo, Rui, 2019. "Impacts of China's crash on Asia-Pacific financial integration: Volatility interdependence, information transmission and market co-movement," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 28-46.
    20. Sadorsky, Perry, 2012. "Correlations and volatility spillovers between oil prices and the stock prices of clean energy and technology companies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 248-255.
    21. Jae-Kwang Hwang, 2014. "Spillover Effects of the 2008 Financial Crisis in Latin America Stock Markets," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 20(3), pages 311-324, August.
    22. Bekiros, Stelios D., 2014. "Contagion, decoupling and the spillover effects of the US financial crisis: Evidence from the BRIC markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 58-69.
    23. Chen, Gong-meng & Firth, Michael & Meng Rui, Oliver, 2002. "Stock market linkages: Evidence from Latin America," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 1113-1141, June.
    24. Al Nasser, Omar M. & Hajilee, Massomeh, 2016. "Integration of emerging stock markets with global stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 1-12.
    25. Graham, Michael & Kiviaho, Jarno & Nikkinen, Jussi, 2012. "Integration of 22 emerging stock markets: A three-dimensional analysis," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 34-47.
    26. Jose Fernandez-Serrano & Simon Sosvilla-Rivero, 2003. "Modelling the linkages between US and Latin American stock markets," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(12), pages 1423-1434.
    27. Elie I Bouri, 2013. "Correlation and Volatility of the MENA Equity Markets in Turbulent Periods, and Portfolio Implications," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(2), pages 1575-1593.
    28. Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Zhihui Lv & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "Equity Return Dispersion and Stock Market Volatility: Evidence from Multivariate Linear and Nonlinear Causality Tests," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-15, January.
    29. Thomas C. Chiang & Hooi Hooi Lean & Wing-Keung Wong, 2008. "Do REITs Outperform Stocks and Fixed-Income Assets? New Evidence from Mean-Variance and Stochastic Dominance Approaches," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 1(1), pages 1-40, December.
    30. Kai-Yin Woo & Chulin Mai & Michael McAleer & Wing-Keung Wong, 2020. "Review on Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-51, March.
    31. Kroner, Kenneth F. & Sultan, Jahangir, 1993. "Time-Varying Distributions and Dynamic Hedging with Foreign Currency Futures," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(4), pages 535-551, December.
    32. He, Ling T., 2001. "Time variation paths of international transmission of stock volatility -- US vs. Hong Kong and South Korea," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 79-93.
    33. Johnson, Robert & Soenen, Luc, 2003. "Economic integration and stock market comovement in the Americas," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 85-100, February.
    34. Su, Xianfang, 2020. "Measuring extreme risk spillovers across international stock markets: A quantile variance decomposition analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    35. Bhuyan, Rafiqul & Robbani, Mohammad G. & Talukdar, Bakhtear & Jain, Ajeet, 2016. "Information transmission and dynamics of stock price movements: An empirical analysis of BRICS and US stock markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 180-195.
    36. Wang, Gang-Jin & Xie, Chi & Lin, Min & Stanley, H. Eugene, 2017. "Stock market contagion during the global financial crisis: A multiscale approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 163-168.
    37. Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2012. "Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 57-66.
    38. Yousaf, Imran & Hassan, Arshad, 2019. "Linkages between crude oil and emerging Asian stock markets: New evidence from the Chinese stock market crash," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    39. Kroner, Kenneth F & Ng, Victor K, 1998. "Modeling Asymmetric Comovements of Asset Returns," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 11(4), pages 817-844.
    40. Diamandis, Panayiotis F., 2009. "International stock market linkages: Evidence from Latin America," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 13-30.
    41. Xu Guo & Xuejun Jiang & Wing-Keung Wong, 2017. "Stochastic Dominance and Omega Ratio: Measures to Examine Market Efficiency, Arbitrage Opportunity, and Anomaly," Economies, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-16, October.
    42. Malik, Farooq & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2007. "Shock and volatility transmission in the oil, US and Gulf equity markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 357-368.
    43. Adel Sharkasi & Heather J. Ruskin & Martin Crane, 2005. "Interrelationships Among International Stock Market Indices: Europe, Asia And The Americas," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 8(05), pages 603-622.
    44. Qian Han & Jufang Liang, 2017. "Index Futures Trading Restrictions and Spot Market Quality: Evidence from the Recent Chinese Stock Market Crash," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 411-428, April.
    45. Cao, Guangxi & Han, Yan & Li, Qingchen & Xu, Wei, 2017. "Asymmetric MF-DCCA method based on risk conduction and its application in the Chinese and foreign stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 468(C), pages 119-130.
    46. Wing-Keung Wong & Hooi Hooi Lean & Michael McAleer & Feng-Tse Tsai, 2018. "Why Are Warrant Markets Sustained in Taiwan but Not in China?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-17, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Younis, Ijaz & Shah, Waheed Ullah & Yousaf, Imran, 2023. "Static and dynamic linkages between oil, gold and global equity markets in various crisis episodes: Evidence from the Wavelet TVP-VAR," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    2. Imran Yousaf & Shoaib Ali & Wing-Keung Wong, 2020. "An Empirical Analysis of the Volatility Spillover Effect between World-Leading and the Asian Stock Markets: Implications for Portfolio Management," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-28, September.
    3. Zhong, Yi & Liu, Jiapeng, 2021. "Correlations and volatility spillovers between China and Southeast Asian stock markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 57-69.
    4. Nathan Burks & Adetokunbo Fadahunsi & Ann Marie Hibbert, 2021. "Financial Contagion: A Tale of Three Bubbles," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-14, May.
    5. Wu, Xu & Wang, Pei-Yu & Wang, Kun, 2023. "The effect of stabilization fund to rescue stock market based on expected return-capita circulation equation," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 87(PB).
    6. Imran Yousaf & Shoaib Ali & Muhammad Naveed & Ifraz Adeel, 2021. "Risk and Return Transmissions From Crude Oil to Latin American Stock Markets During the Crisis: Portfolio Implications," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(2), pages 21582440211, April.
    7. Cynthia Sari DEWI & Florentina KURNIASARI & Helena DEWI & Eko ENDARTO & Nurhuda NIZAR, 2021. "Return Spillover Between The U.S., Japanese, And Indonesian Stock Market During Covid-19," Business Excellence and Management, Faculty of Management, Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 11(5), pages 196-207, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tsuji, Chikashi, 2020. "Correlation and spillover effects between the US and international banking sectors: New evidence and implications for risk management," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    2. Imran Yousaf & Shoaib Ali & Wing-Keung Wong, 2020. "An Empirical Analysis of the Volatility Spillover Effect between World-Leading and the Asian Stock Markets: Implications for Portfolio Management," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-28, September.
    3. Corbet, Shaen & Hou, Yang (Greg) & Hu, Yang & Oxley, Les & Xu, Danyang, 2021. "Pandemic-related financial market volatility spillovers: Evidence from the Chinese COVID-19 epicentre," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 55-81.
    4. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Cunado, Juncal & Filis, George & Gabauer, David & Perez de Gracia, Fernando, 2018. "Oil volatility, oil and gas firms and portfolio diversification," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 499-515.
    5. Zhong, Yi & Liu, Jiapeng, 2021. "Correlations and volatility spillovers between China and Southeast Asian stock markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 57-69.
    6. Yousaf, Imran & Hassan, Arshad, 2019. "Linkages between crude oil and emerging Asian stock markets: New evidence from the Chinese stock market crash," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    7. Ying Li & Yue Xia & Yang-Che Wu & Wing-Keung Wong, 2020. "The Sustainability of Energy Substitution in the Chinese Electric Power Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-16, July.
    8. Imran Yousaf & Shoaib Ali & Muhammad Naveed & Ifraz Adeel, 2021. "Risk and Return Transmissions From Crude Oil to Latin American Stock Markets During the Crisis: Portfolio Implications," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(2), pages 21582440211, April.
    9. Mensi, Walid & Shafiullah, Muhammad & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "Volatility spillovers between strategic commodity futures and stock markets and portfolio implications: Evidence from developed and emerging economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    10. Ahmad, Wasim & Mishra, Anil V. & Daly, Kevin, 2018. "Heterogeneous dependence and dynamic hedging between sectors of BRIC and global markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 117-133.
    11. Arfaoui Mongi & Haj Ali Dhouha, 2016. "Do Structural Breaks Affect Portfolio Designs and Hedging Strategies? International Evidence from Stock-Commodity Markets Linkages," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(1), pages 252-270.
    12. Evrim Mandacı, Pınar & Cagli, Efe Çaglar & Taşkın, Dilvin, 2020. "Dynamic connectedness and portfolio strategies: Energy and metal markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    13. Guhathakurta, Kousik & Dash, Saumya Ranjan & Maitra, Debasish, 2020. "Period specific volatility spillover based connectedness between oil and other commodity prices and their portfolio implications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    14. Tsuji, Chikashi, 2018. "New DCC analyses of return transmission, volatility spillovers, and optimal hedging among oil futures and oil equities in oil-producing countries," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C), pages 1202-1217.
    15. Cardona, Laura & Gutiérrez, Marcela & Agudelo, Diego A., 2017. "Volatility transmission between US and Latin American stock markets: Testing the decoupling hypothesis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PA), pages 115-127.
    16. Nguyen Huu Hau & Tran Trung Tinh & Hoa Anh Tuong & Wing-Keung Wong, 2020. "Review of Matrix Theory with Applications in Education and Decision Sciences," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 24(1), pages 28-69, March.
    17. Dimitrios Vortelinos & Konstantinos Gkillas (Gillas) & Costas Syriopoulos & Argyro Svingou, 2017. "Asymmetric and nonlinear inter-relations of US stock indices," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 14(1), pages 78-129, December.
    18. Liu, Xiaoxing & Shehzad, Khurram & Kocak, Emrah & Zaman, Umer, 2022. "Dynamic correlations and portfolio implications across stock and commodity markets before and during the COVID-19 era: A key role of gold," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    19. Iwanicz-Drozdowska, Małgorzata & Rogowicz, Karol & Kurowski, Łukasz & Smaga, Paweł, 2021. "Two decades of contagion effect on stock markets: Which events are more contagious?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    20. Tsuji, Chikashi, 2018. "Return transmission and asymmetric volatility spillovers between oil futures and oil equities: New DCC-MEGARCH analyses," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 167-185.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:13:y:2020:i:7:p:148-:d:381691. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.