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Real output and unit labor costs as predictors of inflation

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Author Info
Yash P. Mehra
Abstract

Granger-causality tests used here find that: [1] unit labor costs add no predictive power to inflation forecasts; and [2] the gap between actual and potential output does help predict inflation, but only in the short run.

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File URL: http://www.richmondfed.org/publications/research/economic_review/1990/pdf/er760405.pdf
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond in its journal Economic Review.

Volume (Year): (1990)
Issue (Month): Jul ()
Pages: 31-39
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Handle: RePEc:fip:fedrer:y:1990:i:jul:p:31-39:n:v.76no.4

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Related research
Keywords: Wages ; Inflation (Finance) ; Forecasting;

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-18.

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