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Why is the U.S. share of world merchandise exports shrinking?

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  • Benjamin R. Mandel

Abstract

As the U.S. share of the world goods trade slips from its level in the 1980s and 1990s, concerns have arisen that the productivity of U.S. exporters has not been growing as fast as that of foreign firms selling similar products. However, an analysis of industry-level trade data suggests that two other factors explain much of the drop in export share: the changing composition of the products traded internationally and the diminished share of U.S. GDP in global output. Declining relative productivity may have played a role in the early 2000s, but it has not been a large factor across industries over the longer term. Overall, there is little evidence of a broad-based decline in the nation?s ability to compete in global markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Benjamin R. Mandel, 2012. "Why is the U.S. share of world merchandise exports shrinking?," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 18(Feb).
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fednci:y:2012:i:feb:n:v.18no.1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Dennis Novy, 2013. "Gravity Redux: Measuring International Trade Costs With Panel Data," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 51(1), pages 101-121, January.
    2. Robert C. Feenstra & Robert E. Lipsey & Haiyan Deng & Alyson C. Ma & Hengyong Mo, 2005. "World Trade Flows: 1962-2000," NBER Working Papers 11040, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Filippo di Mauro & Robert Anderton & Ekkehard Ernst & Laurent Maurin & Sonia Pokutova & Wim Melyn & Axel Jochem & N. M. Pakinezou & Javier Torres & Remy Lecat & Mark Cassidy & Roberto Tedeschi & Erik , 2005. "Competitiveness and the export performance of the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 30, European Central Bank.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Prachi Mishra & Devesh Roy, 2016. "India-Us Trade and Investment: Have They Been Up To Potential?," Global Economy Journal (GEJ), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 539-567, September.
    3. Nicholas Labelle, 2018. "Decomposing Canada’s Market Shares: An Update," Staff Analytical Notes 2018-26, Bank of Canada.

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