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How well do initial claims forecast employment growth over the business cycle and over time?

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Author Info

  • Kevin L. Kliesen
  • David C. Wheelock

Abstract

Initial claims may now be useful for forecasting employment growth during periods of increasing economic activity.>

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File URL: http://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/es/12/ES_2012-03-09.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis in its journal Economic Synopses.

Volume (Year): (2012)
Issue (Month): ()
Pages:

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Handle: RePEc:fip:fedles:y:2012:n:7

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Related research

Keywords: Employment ; Job creation ; Economic conditions - United States;

References

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  1. William T. Gavin & Kevin L. Kliesen, 2002. "Unemployment insurance claims and economic activity," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue May, pages 15-28.
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Cited by:
  1. Hassan Mohammadi & Daniel Rich, 2013. "Dynamics of Unemployment Insurance Claims: An Application of ARIMA-GARCH Models," Atlantic Economic Journal, International Atlantic Economic Society, International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 41(4), pages 413-425, December.
  2. John Carter Braxton, 2013. "Revisiting the use of initial jobless claims as a labor market indicator," Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City RWP 13-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.

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