How well do initial claims forecast employment growth over the business cycle and over time?
AbstractInitial claims may now be useful for forecasting employment growth during periods of increasing economic activity.>
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis in its journal Economic Synopses.
Volume (Year): (2012)
Issue (Month): ()
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- William T. Gavin & Kevin L. Kliesen, 2002. "Unemployment insurance claims and economic activity," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue May, pages 15-28.
- Hassan Mohammadi & Daniel Rich, 2013. "Dynamics of Unemployment Insurance Claims: An Application of ARIMA-GARCH Models," Atlantic Economic Journal, International Atlantic Economic Society, International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 41(4), pages 413-425, December.
- John Carter Braxton, 2013. "Revisiting the use of initial jobless claims as a labor market indicator," Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City RWP 13-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
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