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TIPS and the risk of deflation

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  • Jens Christensen

Abstract

The low level of inflation and the sluggish pace of economic recovery have raised concerns about sustained deflation—an inflation rate below zero with a general fall in prices. However, the relative prices of inflation-indexed and non-indexed Treasury bonds, which historically have proven to be good measures of inflation expectations, suggest that financial market participants consider the probability of deflation to be low.

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File URL: http://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/letter/2010/el2010-32.html
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File URL: http://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/letter/2010/el2010-32.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco in its journal FRBSF Economic Letter.

Volume (Year): (2010)
Issue (Month): Oct 25 ()
Pages:

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Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfel:y:2010:i:oct25:n:2010-32

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Related research

Keywords: Deflation (Finance) ; Inflation (Finance) ; Treasury bonds;

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  1. Zheng Liu & Glenn Rudebusch, 2010. "Inflation: mind the gap," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Jan 19.
  2. Jens Christensen, 2009. "Inflation expectations and the risk of deflation," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Nov 2.
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