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Inflation expectations and the risk of deflation

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  • Jens Christensen

Abstract

Predicting the course of inflation is one of the most important challenges facing monetary policymakers. Useful aids to such prediction are the measures of expected future inflation obtained from prices in government bond markets. An examination of recent inflation-indexed and non-indexed U.S. Treasury bond yields suggests that financial market participants believe that the probability of prolonged deflation has become fairly small.

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File URL: http://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/letter/2009/el2009-34.html
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File URL: http://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/letter/2009/el2009-34.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco in its journal FRBSF Economic Letter.

Volume (Year): (2009)
Issue (Month): nov2 ()
Pages:

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Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfel:y:2009:i:nov2:n:2009-34

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Keywords: Inflation (Finance) ; Deflation (Finance);

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Cited by:
  1. Jens Christensen, 2010. "TIPS and the risk of deflation," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue oct25.
  2. Olesya V. Grishchenko & Joel M. Vanden & Jianing Zhang, 2013. "The informational content of the embedded deflation option in TIPS," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) 2013-24, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

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