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Aposentadoria, Pressão Salarial e Desemprego por Nível de Qualificação

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  • Reis, Mauricio Cortez
  • Camargo, José Márcio

Abstract

Durante os anos noventa ocorreu um aumento significativo da taxa de desemprego no Brasil. Durante esse período também foi observado um aumento do valor da aposentadoria domiciliar per capita (a renda da aposentadoria dos domicílios dividida pelo número de moradores destes domicílios). Essas mudanças foram mais intensas para os trabalhadores com baixo nível de qualificação. De acordo com o argumento proposto neste artigo, a maior renda decorrente da aposentadoria aumentou o salário de reserva dos trabalhadores, ainda que os benefícios fossem recebidos por outros membros do domicílio que não os participantes da PEA. O salário de reserva mais elevado, por sua vez, teria gerado um aumento da pressão salarial, levando a maiores taxas de desemprego, assim como à maior incidência de desemprego de longo prazo. Os resultados, usando dados da PNAD de 1981 a 1999, mostram que maiores aposentadorias estão relacionadas a taxas mais altas de desemprego e de desemprego de longo prazo para os trabalhadores não-qualificados.

Suggested Citation

  • Reis, Mauricio Cortez & Camargo, José Márcio, 2008. "Aposentadoria, Pressão Salarial e Desemprego por Nível de Qualificação," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 62(3), November.
    • Handle: RePEc:fgv:epgrbe:v:62:y:2008:i:3:a:1298
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    2. Ana lucia Kassouf & Pedro Oliveira, 2014. "Impact Evaluation of the Brazilian Social Programs on Family Welfare," ERSA conference papers ersa14p132, European Regional Science Association.

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