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Desemprego dos jovens no Brasil: os efeitos da estabilização da inflação em um mercado de trabalho com escassez de informação

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  • Reis, Mauricio Cortez
  • Camargo, José Márcio

Abstract

Após a estabilização da inflação com o Plano Real em 1994, a taxa de desemprego dos jovens no Brasil aumentou significativamente em relação aos adultos. De acordo com o argumento proposto neste artigo, a maior rigidez salarial provocada pela estabilização da inflação e o elevado grau de incerteza dos empregadores sobre a produtividade dos trabalhadores mais jovens foram importantes para explicar esse resultado. Como parte das informações sobre a produtividade é revelada com a experiência no mercado de trabalho, a estabilização deve ter limitado a capacidade das firmas ajustarem o salário real à medida que adquirem mais informações sobre os trabalhadores jovens. Com isso, os ajustes nas situações em que a produtividade do trabalhador se revela inferior ao salário real passam a ser feitos através do emprego. Usando dados da PNAD para o período de 1981 a 2002 são encontradas evidências consistentes com esse argumento, já que reduções na taxa de inflação parecem ter aumentado o desemprego e reduzido a duração média do emprego de todos os grupos etários, mas de maneira mais acentuada para os trabalhadores jovens.

Suggested Citation

  • Reis, Mauricio Cortez & Camargo, José Márcio, 2007. "Desemprego dos jovens no Brasil: os efeitos da estabilização da inflação em um mercado de trabalho com escassez de informação," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 61(4), July.
    • Handle: RePEc:fgv:epgrbe:v:61:y:2007:i:4:a:938
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    Cited by:

    1. Anna Risi Vianna Crespo & Maurício Cortez Reis, 2005. "Race Discrimination in Brazil: An Analysis of the Age, Period and Cohort Effects," Discussion Papers 1114, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    2. Mattos, Enlinson & Orellano, Veronica & Pazello, elaine, 2009. "A Substituição de Trabalhadores como Instrumento para Redução de Gastos com Salários: Evidências para a Indústria Paulista," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 63(2), June.
    3. Mazali, Antonio Alberto & Divino, Jose Angelo, 2010. "Real Wage Rigidity and the New Phillips Curve: The Brazilian Case," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 64(3), September.

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