Exchange-Rate Regimes in Slovakia and the New EU Member States (in Slovak)

Using a large data set for 167 developed countries and emerging and transition economies, the authors estimate probability models (probit and ordered probit) based on available de jure and de facto classifications for 1970–1995 and 1995–1999. They show that economic openness, trade concentration, and national deficit increase the probability of fixed exchange rates. In contrast, large countries are more likely to choose floating exchange rates then small ones. Financial crisis also increases the probability of more flexible regimes. Finally, the authors present probabilities of adoption of various exchange-rate regimes for selected countries. The results confirm the preference for more rigid exchange-rate regimes (e.g. monetary union) by small EU economies, including the ten new EU member states.