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Exchange-Rate Regimes in Slovakia and the New EU Member States (in Slovak)

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Author Info

  • Jarko Fidrmuc

    ()
    (Ludwig-Maximillians-University Munich; Comenius University Bratislava, Faculty of Mathematics Physics and Informatics, Department of Applied Mathematics and Applied Statistics)

  • Matúš Senaj

    ()
    (Ministry of Labor, Social Affairs and Family of the Slovak Republic; Comenius University Bratislava, Faculty of Mathematics Physics and Informatics)

Abstract

Using a large data set for 167 developed countries and emerging and transition economies, the authors estimate probability models (probit and ordered probit) based on available de jure and de facto classifications for 1970–1995 and 1995–1999. They show that economic openness, trade concentration, and national deficit increase the probability of fixed exchange rates. In contrast, large countries are more likely to choose floating exchange rates then small ones. Financial crisis also increases the probability of more flexible regimes. Finally, the authors present probabilities of adoption of various exchange-rate regimes for selected countries. The results confirm the preference for more rigid exchange-rate regimes (e.g. monetary union) by small EU economies, including the ten new EU member states.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences in its journal Finance a uver - Czech Journal of Economics and Finance.

Volume (Year): 56 (2006)
Issue (Month): 1-2 (January)
Pages: 40-57

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Handle: RePEc:fau:fauart:v:56:y:2006:i:1-2:p:40-57

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Related research

Keywords: economic and monetary union; exchange-rate regimes; ordered probit;

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References

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  1. Frankel, Jeffrey A. & Rose, Andrew K., 1997. "Economic Structure and the Decision to Adopt a Common Currency," Seminar Papers 611, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies.
  2. Alberto Alesina & Alexander Wagner, 2003. "Choosing (And Reneging On) Exchange Rate Regimes," Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers 2008, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research.
  3. von Hagen, Jurgen & Zhou, Jizhong, 2005. "De facto and official exchange rate regimes in transition economies," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 256-275, June.
  4. Guillermo A. Calvo & Carmen M. Reinhart, 2000. "Fear of Floating," NBER Working Papers 7993, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. von Hagen, Jürgen & Zhou, Jizhong, 2002. "The choice of exchange rate regimes: An empirical analysis for transition economies," ZEI Working Papers B 03-2002, ZEI - Center for European Integration Studies, University of Bonn.
  6. Maria Milesi-Ferretti, Gian & Razin, Assaf, 1998. "Sharp reductions in current account deficits An empirical analysis," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 42(3-5), pages 897-908, May.
  7. Fidrmuc, Jarko & Korhonen, Iikka, 2003. "Similarity of supply and demand shocks between the euro area and the CEECs," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 313-334, September.
  8. Jesús Crespo-Cuaresma & Jarko Fidrmuc & Ronald McDonald, 2004. "The monetary approach to exchange rates in the CEECs," Macroeconomics 0401013, EconWPA.
  9. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2004. "The Modern History of Exchange Rate Arrangements: A Reinterpretation," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 119(1), pages 1-48, February.
  10. Atish R. Ghosh & Anne-Marie Gulde & Holger C. Wolf, 2003. "Exchange Rate Regimes: Choices and Consequences," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262072408, December.
  11. Coricelli, Fabrizio & Jazbec, Bostjan & Masten, Igor, 2003. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Candidate Countries," CEPR Discussion Papers 3894, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Cited by:
  1. Katarína Danišková & Jarko Fidrmuc, 2011. "Inflation Convergence and the New Keynesian, Phillips Curve in the Czech Republic," Working Papers 292, Institut für Ost- und Südosteuropaforschung (Institute for East and South-East European Studies).

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