An Intervention Analysis of the Behavior of the Iranian Real Gross Domestic Product: 1959-2001
AbstractThe Iranian real gross domestic product in the period of 1959-2001 reveals a relatively high degree of instability. Some of this instability almost certainly arises because of external shocks to the economy. This paper focuses on three shocks, or interventions, which seem to have had particularly significant impacts on the Iranian economy. These are the political upheavals of mid 1971’s, the 1981-1989 War, and the oil shock and some policy reversals of early 1991’s. We construct a time series model for the purpose of intervention analysis and use this model to calculate the impact on the Iranian economy of each and every of these interventions.
Download InfoIf you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Economics faculty of Tehran university in its journal Iranian Economic Review.
Volume (Year): 12 (2007)
Issue (Month): 2 (spring)
Iranian Economy; Time Series Analysis; Intervention Analysis; Dummy Variable Analysis; Iraq-Iran War; Political Upheavals; Oils Shocks.;
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-72, June.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ([z.rahimalipour]).
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.