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Analysis Models for Territorial Variation of Demographic Phenomena. The Case of Romania

Author

Listed:
  • Mariana NICOLAE-BALAN

    (Institute for Economic Forecasting-NIER, Romanian Academy)

  • Raluca Ioana IORGULESCU

    (Institute for Economic Forecasting-NIER, Romanian Academy)

Abstract

Demographic phenomena that characterized the last decades have influenced its spatial distribution. Demographic aging of population has become lately an extremely sensitive and sometimes thorny issue, whose resolution requires a joint and coordinated effort of all decision makers in each country. Demographic aging has a profound impact on all generations and for most areas of economic activity and for the poverty level. As a member state of the European Union, Romania, "enrols", from the point of view of an aging population, in the European trend, sometimes was exceeding, in the negative, the levels of other Member States. Regional disparities, highlighted through different methods, recommend using multi-criteria analysis to determine the influence of various socio-economic factors on demographic factors. In the first part, the paper presents a brief analysis of the evolution of demographic phenomena in Romanian development regions. Econometric and stochastic methods for territorial forecasting of demographic phenomena are presented, which will be the basis for future research.

Suggested Citation

  • Mariana NICOLAE-BALAN & Raluca Ioana IORGULESCU, 2015. "Analysis Models for Territorial Variation of Demographic Phenomena. The Case of Romania," Eco-Economics Review, Ecological University of Bucharest, Economics Faculty and Ecology and Environmental Protection Faculty, vol. 1(1), pages 25-32, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:eub:ecoecr:v:1:y:2015:i:1:p:25-32
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    demographic phenomena; regional distribution; stochastic models; econometric estimates; forecast;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • C87 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Econometric Software
    • J10 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - General
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts

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