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Ignorance and Influence: U.S. Economists on Argentina’s Depression of 1998-2002

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Author Info
Kurt Schuler
Abstract

Economists in the United States wrote reams of commentary on Argentina’s recession-turned-depression of 1998-2002. Most ignored basic facts that were readily available. As a result, they committed important errors, including mistaking Argentina’s central banking system for a currency board and claiming that Argentina’s exports were uncompetitive when in fact Argentina’s share of world exports was growing. The faulty analysis of U.S. and other economists provided justifications for decisions by the Argentine government in early 2002 to devalue the Argentine peso and forcibly convert U.S. dollar assets and liabilities into pesos. Argentina’s depression deepened and exports failed to revive quickly.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Atlas Economic Research Foundation in its journal Econ Journal Watch.

Volume (Year): 2 (2005)
Issue (Month): 2 (August)
Pages: 234-278
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Handle: RePEc:ejw:volone:2005234-278

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Related research
Keywords: Argentina; convertibility; currency board; economists;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
A11 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - Role of Economics; Role of Economists
E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

  1. Werner Baer & Pedro Elosegui & Andres Gallo, 2002. "The Achievements and Failures of Argentina's Neo-liberal Economic Policies," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 30(1), pages 63-85. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Sebastian Edwards & Miguel A. Savastano, 1999. "Exchange Rates in Emerging Economies: What Do We Know? What Do We Need to Know?," NBER Working Papers 7228, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Schmukler, Sergio L. & Serven, Luis, 2002. "Pricing currency risk under currency boards," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(2), pages 367-391, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Staff Team, 2001. "Argentina: Third Review Under the Stand-By Arrangement, Request for Waivers and Modification of the Program--Staff Report and News Brief on the Executive Board Discussion," IMF Staff Country Reports 01/90, International Monetary Fund.
  5. Alejandro Izquierdo & Ernesto Talvi & Guillermo A. Calvo, 2002. "Sudden Stops, the Real Exchange Rate and Fiscal Sustainability: Argentina's Lessons," RES Working Papers 4299, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Lee J. Alston & Andrés Gallo, 2002. "The Political Economy of Bank Reform in Argentina Under Convertibility," Journal of Policy Reform, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1-16, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-20.


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