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Are Devaluations Expansionary or Contractionary? A survey article

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  • M Bahmani-Oskooee
  • I Miteza

Abstract

Earlier studies that investigated the impact of devaluation on domestic production relied upon the aggregate demand analysis. They argued that by making a country?s exports cheaper and imports expensive, devaluation is said to stimulate the aggregate demand and thus, domestic production. In this case, devaluation is said to be expansionary. Recent studies, however, have argued that by raising the cost of imported inputs, devaluation contracts aggregate supply. If decrease in aggregate supply more than offsets the increase in aggregate demand, output eventually declines. In this case, devaluation is said to be contractionary. This article reviews the existing research on the effects of devaluation on domestic production and concludes that the impact is country specific and depends on model specification and results depend on the estimation technique.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Economic Issues in its journal Economic Issues.

Volume (Year): 8 (2003)
Issue (Month): 2 (September)
Pages: 1-28

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Handle: RePEc:eis:articl:203bahmani

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Cited by:
  1. Muhammad, Shahbaz & Faridul, Islam & Naveed, Aamir, 2011. "Is devaluation contractionary? empirical evidence for Pakistan," MPRA Paper 32520, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Aug 2011.
  2. Yu Hsing, 2005. "Application of the IS-MP-IA model to the German economy and policy implications," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 15(5), pages 1-10.
  3. Yu Hsing, 2005. "Effects of Macroeconomic Policies and Stock Market Performance on the Estonian Economy," Prague Economic Papers, University of Economics, Prague, vol. 2005(2), pages 109-116.
  4. HSING, Yu & GUISAN, M.C., 2011. "Real Exchange Rate, Foreign Trade And Real Output Growth: The Case Of Spain, 1970-2009," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 11(1).
  5. M Bahmani-Oskooee & I Miteza, 2006. "Stock Market Growth: An analysis of cointegration and causality," Economic Issues Journal Articles, Economic Issues, vol. 11(1), pages 37-64, March.
  6. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Hajilee, Massomeh, 2013. "Exchange rate volatility and its impact on domestic investment," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(1), pages 1-12.
  7. Artatrana Ratha & Eungmin Kang & Mary Edwards, 2008. "Does an Undervalued Currency Promote Growth? Evidence from China," Working Papers 2008-2 Classification- F3, Saint Cloud State University, Department of Economics.
  8. Magda E. Kandil & Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee, 2007. "Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Output in Oil-Producing Countries," IMF Working Papers 07/113, International Monetary Fund.
  9. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Hegerty, Scott W. & Kutan, Ali M., 2008. "Do nominal devaluations lead to real devaluations? Evidence from 89 countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 644-670, October.
  10. Chan, Tze-Haw & Hooy, Chee-Wooi, 2011. "China-Malaysia’s long run trading and exchange rate: complementary or conflicting?," MPRA Paper 33585, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  11. MITEZA, Ilir, 2006. "Devaluation And Output In Five Transition Economies: A Panel Cointegration Approach Of Poland, Hungary, Czech Republic, Slovakia And Romania, 1993-2000," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 6(1).
  12. Mehrara, Mohsen & Oskoui, Kamran Niki, 2007. "The sources of macroeconomic fluctuations in oil exporting countries: A comparative study," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 365-379, May.
  13. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Ilir Miteza & Gour Goswami, 2008. "Could Changes in Black Market Exchange Rates be Expansionary in LDCs?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 6(13), pages 1-9.
  14. Yu Hsing, 2004. "Impacts of Macroeconomic Policies on Output in the Czech Republic: An Application of Romer's IS-MP-IA Model," Prague Economic Papers, University of Economics, Prague, vol. 2004(4), pages 339-345.
  15. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:15:y:2005:i:5:p:1-10 is not listed on IDEAS
  16. Yu Hsing, 2005. "Application of the IS-MP-IA model to the Singapore economy and policy implications," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 15(6), pages 1-9.
  17. Yu Hsing, 2006. "Responses of output in Poland to shocks to the exchange rate, the stock price, and other macroeconomic variables: a VAR model," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(15), pages 1017-1022.
  18. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:15:y:2005:i:6:p:1-9 is not listed on IDEAS

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