Information Problems for Policy Analysis and Forecasting
Abstract
Good information is required for policy analysis and forecasting. This paper reviews the broad range of information problems that face an analyst or forecaster. Two distinct situations are considered: (1) the need to explain the current structure of an economic sector, and (2) the requirement to predict the effects of structural changes. The difficulties considered include data revisions, conflicting results in published studies, publication biases and possibly inappropriate models and theories. Examples considered include computable general equilibrium analyses and forecasts of the effects of airline deregulation.Download Info
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Article provided by Eastern Economic Association in its journal Eastern Economic Journal.
Volume (Year): 22 (1996)
Issue (Month): 1 (Winter)
Pages: 47-56
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Handle: RePEc:eej:eeconj:v:22:y:1996:i:1:p:47-56
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Postal: c/o Dr. Alexandre Olbrecht, The Anisfield School of Business 205, Ramapo College, 505 Ramapo Valley Road, Ramapo, New Jersey 07430, USA
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Web page: http://www.ramapo.edu/eea/journal.html
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For corrections or technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (Victor Matheson, College of the Holy Cross).
Related research
Keywords: Forecasting; Information;Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting Models; Simulation Methods
- D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search, Learning, and Information
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