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Information Problems for Policy Analysis and Forecasting

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Author Info
Robert S. Goldfarb (George Washington University)
H. O. Stekler (George Washington University)

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Abstract

Good information is required for policy analysis and forecasting. This paper reviews the broad range of information problems that face an analyst or forecaster. Two distinct situations are considered: (1) the need to explain the current structure of an economic sector, and (2) the requirement to predict the effects of structural changes. The difficulties considered include data revisions, conflicting results in published studies, publication biases and possibly inappropriate models and theories. Examples considered include computable general equilibrium analyses and forecasts of the effects of airline deregulation.

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File URL: http://college.holycross.edu/eej/Volume22/V22N1P47_56.pdf
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Eastern Economic Association in its journal Eastern Economic Journal.

Volume (Year): 22 (1996)
Issue (Month): 1 (Winter)
Pages: 47-56
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Handle: RePEc:eej:eeconj:v:22:y:1996:i:1:p:47-56

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Postal: Dr. Mary H. Lesser, Department of Economics, Iona College, New Rochelle, NY 10801-1890
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Related research
Keywords: Forecasting; Information;

Other versions of this item:

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Other Model Applications
D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search, Learning, and Information

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This page was last updated on 2009-10-22.


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