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External Shocks, Structural Change, and Economic Growth in Mexico, 1979-2007

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Author Info
Blecker, Robert A.

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Abstract

Summary This article finds that shocks to net financial inflows, world oil prices, the US growth rate, and the lagged real exchange rate explain most of the fluctuations in Mexico's annual growth since 1979. The article also estimates how the effects of these external constraints have changed since Mexico's liberalization policies of the late 1980s and the formation of NAFTA in 1994. Estimates of an investment function and other tests show that growth drives investment but not conversely, in the short run. Investment is driven mainly by oil prices and the accelerator effect; foreign direct investment has no significant impact.

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6VC6-4VBM4H0-2/2/5e7a36f61169791089e7ec62e2b42fad
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Elsevier in its journal World Development.

Volume (Year): 37 (2009)
Issue (Month): 7 (July)
Pages: 1274-1284
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Handle: RePEc:eee:wdevel:v:37:y:2009:i:7:p:1274-1284

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/worlddev

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Related research
Keywords: Latin America Mexico external shocks economic growth investment financial inflows;

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-3.


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