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An Analysis of a US-Southern African Customs Union (SACU) Free Trade Agreement

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  • Brown, Drusilla K.
  • Kiyota, Kozo
  • Stern, Robert M.

Abstract

Summary This paper analyzes the potential economic effects of bilateral negotiations for an FTA between the United States and the Southern African Customs Union (SACU). The US-SACU FTA bilateral negotiations were initiated in June 2003, but have become deadlocked over a series of issues of concern to the SACU. To determine whether a bilateral FTA might be in the SACU members' interests, we use the Michigan Model of World Production and Trade to assess the welfare and other economic effects of a bilateral FTA. We conclude that the benefits of an FTA are rather small, and that the interests of the global trading community, including the United States and SACU, could be better served by unilateral and especially multilateral liberalization.

Suggested Citation

  • Brown, Drusilla K. & Kiyota, Kozo & Stern, Robert M., 2008. "An Analysis of a US-Southern African Customs Union (SACU) Free Trade Agreement," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 461-484, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:wdevel:v:36:y:2008:i:3:p:461-484
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Drusilla K. Brown & Alan V. Deardorff & Robert M. Stern, 2003. "Multilateral, Regional and Bilateral Trade‐Policy Options for the United States and Japan," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(6), pages 803-828, June.
    2. World Bank, 2006. "World Development Indicators 2006," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 8151, December.
    3. Drusilla K. Brown & Kozo Kiyota & Robert M. Stern, 2006. "Computational Analysis of the Menu of US‐Japan Trade Policies," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(6), pages 805-855, June.
    4. Wolfgang F. Stolper & Paul A. Samuelson, 1941. "Protection and Real Wages," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 9(1), pages 58-73.
    5. Bernard Hoekman, 2000. "The next round of services negotiations: identifying priorities and options," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 82(Jul), pages 31-52.
    6. John Whalley & J. Clark Leith, 2003. "Competitive Liberalization and a US-SACU FTA," NBER Working Papers 10168, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Deardorff, A.V. & Stern, R.M., 1990. ""Introduction" To Computational Analysis Of Global Trading Arrangements," Working Papers 261, Research Seminar in International Economics, University of Michigan.
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    Cited by:

    1. Heinrich R. Bohlmann & Leoné Walters & Matthew W. Clance, 2016. "The Impact of the COMESA-EAC-SADC Tripartite Free Trade Agreement on the South African Economy," Working Papers 635, Economic Research Southern Africa.

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