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Martingales and the distribution of the time to ruin

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  • Jacobsen, Martin

Abstract

We determine the ultimate ruin probability and the Laplace transform of the distribution of the time to ruin in the classical risk model, where claims arrive according to a renewal process, with waiting times that are of phase-type, while the claims themselves follow a distribution with a Laplace transform that is a rational function. The main tools are martingales, the optional sampling theorem and results from the theory of piecewise deterministic Markov processes.

Suggested Citation

  • Jacobsen, Martin, 2003. "Martingales and the distribution of the time to ruin," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 107(1), pages 29-51, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:spapps:v:107:y:2003:i:1:p:29-51
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Dickson, David C. M. & Hipp, Christian, 1998. "Ruin probabilities for Erlang(2) risk processes," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 251-262, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jacobsen, Martin & Jensen, Anders Tolver, 2007. "Exit times for a class of piecewise exponential Markov processes with two-sided jumps," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 117(9), pages 1330-1356, September.
    2. Feng, Runhuan, 2009. "On the total operating costs up to default in a renewal risk model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 305-314, October.
    3. Pawel Mista, 2006. "Analytical and numerical approach to corporate operational risk modelling," HSC Research Reports HSC/06/03, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    4. Albrecher, Hansjorg & Boxma, Onno J., 2005. "On the discounted penalty function in a Markov-dependent risk model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 650-672, December.

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