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Intraday price discovery and volatility spillovers in an emerging market

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  • Fassas, Athanasios P.
  • Siriopoulos, Costas

Abstract

This paper extends the study of price discovery and volatility transmission between the cash and futures index prices in Athens Exchange by using a new high-frequency dataset. It also employs, for the first time in the Greek market, well-known techniques to examine the long-run relationships and the short-run dynamics between spot and futures prices. In sum, the error correction model estimations and the estimated information shares provide evidence in support of the leading role of the futures market in the price discovery process. Furthermore, our results suggest strong bi-directional dependence in the intraday volatility of both markets, refuting prior empirical findings. Finally, we show that the pricing efficiency of the futures contracts in Athens Exchange has improved over the last years, as we document fewer divergences from the no-arbitrage window.

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  • Fassas, Athanasios P. & Siriopoulos, Costas, 2019. "Intraday price discovery and volatility spillovers in an emerging market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 333-346.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:59:y:2019:i:c:p:333-346
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2018.09.008
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Athens exchange; Continuous high frequency data; Price discovery; Recursive cointegration analysis; Multivariate GARCH; Common factor weights; Hasbrouck information shares;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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