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A nonparametric study of real exchange rate persistence over a century

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  • Kim, Hyeongwoo
  • Ryu, Deockhyun

Abstract

This paper estimates the degree of persistence of 16 long-horizon real exchange rates relative to the US dollar. We use nonparametric operational algorithms by El-Gamal and Ryu (2006) for general nonlinear models based on two statistical notions: the short memory in mean (SMM) and the short memory in distribution (SMD). We found substantially shorter maximum half-life (MHL) estimates than the counterpart from linear models. Our results are robust to the choice of bandwidth with a few exceptions.

Suggested Citation

  • Kim, Hyeongwoo & Ryu, Deockhyun, 2015. "A nonparametric study of real exchange rate persistence over a century," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 406-418.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:37:y:2015:i:c:p:406-418
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2015.01.003
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Real exchange rate; Purchasing power parity; Short memory in mean; Short-memory in distribution; ϕ-Mixing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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