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Induced travel demand: Evidence from a pseudo panel data based structural equations model

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  • Weis, Claude
  • Axhausen, Kay W.

Abstract

Induced traffic, defined as additional demand generated by improvements in travel conditions, has been a topic of research for many years. While previous studies have focused on specific and localised changes, the research described in this paper deals with the aggregate effects of changed generalised costs of travel on traffic generation: the propensity of participating in out-of-home activities on a given day, the number of trips and journeys conducted, and the resulting total times out-of-home and distances travelled. The generalised cost and accessibility elasticities estimated with a structural equations model for a pseudo panel constructed with the Swiss National Travel surveys since 1974 are surprisingly substantial even after correcting for age, cohort and other socio-demographic effects.

Suggested Citation

  • Weis, Claude & Axhausen, Kay W., 2009. "Induced travel demand: Evidence from a pseudo panel data based structural equations model," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 8-18.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:retrec:v:25:y:2009:i:1:p:8-18
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    2. Yusak O. Susilo & Chengxi Liu & Maria Börjesson, 2019. "The changes of activity-travel participation across gender, life-cycle, and generations in Sweden over 30 years," Transportation, Springer, vol. 46(3), pages 793-818, June.
    3. Bucsky, Péter & Juhász, Mattias, 2022. "Long-term evidence on induced traffic: A case study on the relationship between road traffic and capacity of Budapest bridges," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 244-257.
    4. Yang, Yang & Liu, Qing & Chang, Chia-Hsun, 2023. "China-Europe freight transportation under the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic and government restriction measures," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    5. Allister Loder & Fabienne Cantner & Andrea Cadavid & Markus B. Siewert & Stefan Wurster & Sebastian Goerg & Klaus Bogenberger, 2022. "A nation-wide experiment: fuel tax cuts and almost free public transport for three months in Germany -- Report 3 Second wave results," Papers 2208.14902, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
    6. Song, Siqi & Diao, Mi & Feng, Chen-Chieh, 2021. "Effects of pricing and infrastructure on car ownership: A pseudo-panel-based dynamic model," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 115-126.
    7. Loder, Allister & Tanner, Reto & Axhausen, Kay W., 2017. "The impact of local work and residential balance on vehicle miles traveled: A new direct approach," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 139-149.
    8. Fabienne Cantner & Nico Nachtigall & Lisa S. Hamm & Andrea Cadavid & Lennart Adenaw & Allister Loder & Markus B. Siewert & Sebastian Goerg & Markus Lienkamp & Klaus Bogenberger, 2022. "A nation-wide experiment: fuel tax cuts and almost free public transport for three months in Germany -- Report 2 First wave results," Papers 2206.10510, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
    9. Susilo, Yusak & Liu, Chengxi & Börjesson, Maria, 2018. "The changes of activity-travel participation across gender, life-cycle, and generations in Sweden over 30 years," Working papers in Transport Economics 2018:8, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI).
    10. Siqi Song & Chen-Chieh Feng & Mi Diao, 2020. "Vehicle quota control, transport infrastructure investment and vehicle travel: A pseudo panel analysis," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 57(12), pages 2527-2546, September.
    11. Lennart Adenaw & David Ziegler & Nico Nachtigall & Felix Gotzler & Allister Loder & Markus B. Siewert & Markus Lienkamp & Klaus Bogenberger, 2022. "A nation-wide experiment: fuel tax cuts and almost free public transport for three months in Germany -- Report 5 Insights into four months of mobility tracking," Papers 2211.10328, arXiv.org.
    12. Allister Loder & Fabienne Cantner & Andrea Cadavid & Markus B. Siewert & Stefan Wurster & Sebastian Goerg & Klaus Bogenberger, 2022. "A nation-wide experiment: fuel tax cuts and almost free public transport for three months in Germany -- Report 4 Third wave results," Papers 2210.10538, arXiv.org.
    13. Allister Loder & Fabienne Cantner & Lennart Adenaw & Markus Siewert & Sebastian Goerg & Markus Lienkamp & Klaus Bogenberger, 2022. "A nation-wide experiment: fuel tax cuts and almost free public transport for three months in Germany -- Report 1 Study design, recruiting and participation," Papers 2206.00396, arXiv.org.
    14. Jahanshahi, Kaveh & Jin, Ying & Williams, Ian, 2015. "Direct and indirect influences on employed adults’ travel in the UK: New insights from the National Travel Survey data 2002–2010," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 288-306.
    15. Chi-Hong (Patrick) Tsai & Corinne Mulley & Geoffrey Clifton, 2014. "A Review of Pseudo Panel Data Approach in Estimating Short-run and Long-run Public Transport Demand Elasticities," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(1), pages 102-121, January.
    16. Allister Loder & Fabienne Cantner & Lennart Adenaw & Nico Nachtigall & David Ziegler & Felix Gotzler & Markus B. Siewert & Stefan Wurster & Sebastian Goerg & Markus Lienkamp & Klaus Bogenberger, 2023. "Germany's nationwide travel experiment in 2022: public transport for 9 Euro per month -- First findings of an empirical study," Papers 2306.08297, arXiv.org.

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