IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v541y2020ics0378437119320242.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Hedging effectiveness of precious metals across frequencies: Evidence from Wavelet based Dynamic Conditional Correlation analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Bhatia, Vaneet
  • Das, Debojyoti
  • Kumar, Surya Bhushan

Abstract

This study examines the dynamic relationship between precious metals and stock markets of major developed (G7) and emerging (BRICS) nations. We use a hybrid wavelet-based Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) approach, which allows us to investigate the dynamic relationship between precious metals and stock markets in time and frequency domain. Our results suggest that DCC between the return series of precious metals and stock market varies with timescales in terms of dynamicity, persistence and strength of relationship. G7 and BRICS nations exhibit different dynamicity with precious metals over the study period (2000 to 2017). The dynamics between precious metals and G7 stock markets show similar patterns, which depicts a clustering behaviour, however, same is not true for BRICS nations. In contrast to existing literature, this study found that silver offers better hedging capability than other precious metals for both short and long-run. To construct a two-asset optimal portfolio of precious metal and stock index, palladium emerges as the most favourable option for both short and long-run.

Suggested Citation

  • Bhatia, Vaneet & Das, Debojyoti & Kumar, Surya Bhushan, 2020. "Hedging effectiveness of precious metals across frequencies: Evidence from Wavelet based Dynamic Conditional Correlation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 541(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:541:y:2020:i:c:s0378437119320242
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2019.123631
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437119320242
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2019.123631?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. repec:dau:papers:123456789/13716 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Weide, R. van der, 2002. "Generalized Orthogonal GARCH. A Multivariate GARCH model," CeNDEF Working Papers 02-02, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
    3. Alin Marius Andrieş & Iulian Ihnatov & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2016. "Comovement of Exchange Rates: A Wavelet Analysis," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(3), pages 574-588, March.
    4. Vacha, Lukas & Barunik, Jozef, 2012. "Co-movement of energy commodities revisited: Evidence from wavelet coherence analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 241-247.
    5. Marfatia, Hardik A., 2017. "A fresh look at integration of risks in the international stock markets: A wavelet approach," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 33-49.
    6. Baur, Dirk G. & McDermott, Thomas K., 2010. "Is gold a safe haven? International evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(8), pages 1886-1898, August.
    7. Lehkonen, Heikki & Heimonen, Kari, 2014. "Timescale-dependent stock market comovement: BRICs vs. developed markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 90-103.
    8. repec:dau:papers:123456789/14980 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Dirk G. Baur & Brian M. Lucey, 2010. "Is Gold a Hedge or a Safe Haven? An Analysis of Stocks, Bonds and Gold," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 45(2), pages 217-229, May.
    10. Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Roubaud, David, 2017. "Does Bitcoin hedge global uncertainty? Evidence from wavelet-based quantile-in-quantile regressions," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 87-95.
    11. Creti, Anna & Joëts, Marc & Mignon, Valérie, 2013. "On the links between stock and commodity markets' volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 16-28.
    12. Kim, Jong-Min & Jung, Hojin, 2016. "Linear time-varying regression with Copula–DCC–GARCH models for volatility," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 262-265.
    13. Klein, Tony, 2017. "Dynamic correlation of precious metals and flight-to-quality in developed markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 283-290.
    14. Robert F. Engle & Kevin Sheppard, 2001. "Theoretical and Empirical properties of Dynamic Conditional Correlation Multivariate GARCH," NBER Working Papers 8554, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Mensi, Walid & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2017. "Modeling systemic risk and dependence structure between oil and stock markets using a variational mode decomposition-based copula method," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 258-279.
    16. El Hedi Arouri, Mohamed & Lahiani, Amine & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2015. "World gold prices and stock returns in China: Insights for hedging and diversification strategies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 273-282.
    17. Creti, Anna & Ftiti, Zied & Guesmi, Khaled, 2014. "Oil price and financial markets: Multivariate dynamic frequency analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 245-258.
    18. Basher, Syed Abul & Sadorsky, Perry, 2016. "Hedging emerging market stock prices with oil, gold, VIX, and bonds: A comparison between DCC, ADCC and GO-GARCH," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 235-247.
    19. Das, Debojyoti & Kumar, Surya Bhushan, 2018. "International economic policy uncertainty and stock prices revisited: Multiple and Partial wavelet approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 100-108.
    20. Mensi, Walid & Hkiri, Besma & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis H. & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2018. "Analyzing time–frequency co-movements across gold and oil prices with BRICS stock markets: A VaR based on wavelet approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 74-102.
    21. Sari, Ramazan & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Soytas, Ugur, 2010. "Dynamics of oil price, precious metal prices, and exchange rate," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 351-362, March.
    22. Mensi, Walid & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Reboredo, Juan Carlos & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2014. "Do global factors impact BRICS stock markets? A quantile regression approach," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 1-17.
    23. Jain, Anshul & Biswal, P.C., 2016. "Dynamic linkages among oil price, gold price, exchange rate, and stock market in India," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 179-185.
    24. Jones, Paul M. & Olson, Eric, 2013. "The time-varying correlation between uncertainty, output, and inflation: Evidence from a DCC-GARCH model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 118(1), pages 33-37.
    25. Das, Debojyoti & Kannadhasan, M. & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2018. "A wavelet analysis of co-movements in Asian gold markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 492(C), pages 192-206.
    26. Kroner, Kenneth F. & Sultan, Jahangir, 1993. "Time-Varying Distributions and Dynamic Hedging with Foreign Currency Futures," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(4), pages 535-551, December.
    27. Mara Madaleno & Carlos Pinho, 2012. "International stock market indices comovements: a new look," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(1), pages 89-102, January.
    28. Reboredo, Juan C. & Rivera-Castro, Miguel A., 2013. "A wavelet decomposition approach to crude oil price and exchange rate dependence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 42-57.
    29. Ramsey, J.B., 2002. "Wavelets in Economics and Finance: Past and Future," Working Papers 02-02, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University.
    30. Baruník, Jozef & Kočenda, Evžen & Vácha, Lukáš, 2016. "Gold, oil, and stocks: Dynamic correlations," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 186-201.
    31. Bredin, Don & Conlon, Thomas & Potì, Valerio, 2015. "Does gold glitter in the long-run? Gold as a hedge and safe haven across time and investment horizon," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 320-328.
    32. Hahn Shik Lee, 2004. "International transmission of stock market movements: a wavelet analysis," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(3), pages 197-201.
    33. Ramazan Gencay & Nikola Gradojevic & Faruk Selcuk & Brandon Whitcher, 2010. "Asymmetry of information flow between volatilities across time scales," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(8), pages 895-915.
    34. Kroner, Kenneth F & Ng, Victor K, 1998. "Modeling Asymmetric Comovements of Asset Returns," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 11(4), pages 817-844.
    35. Roy van der Weide, 2002. "GO-GARCH: a multivariate generalized orthogonal GARCH model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(5), pages 549-564.
    36. Das, Debojyoti & Bhowmik, Puja & Jana, R.K., 2018. "A multiscale analysis of stock return co-movements and spillovers: Evidence from Pacific developed markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 502(C), pages 379-393.
    37. Jong-Min Kim & Hojin Jung & Li Qin, 2016. "Linear time-varying regression with a DCC-GARCH model for volatility," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(17), pages 1573-1582, April.
    38. Marshall, John F, 1994. "The Role of the Investment Horizon in Optimal Portfolio Sequencing (An Intuitive Demonstration in Discrete Time)," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 29(4), pages 557-576, November.
    39. Aloui, Chaker & Hkiri, Besma, 2014. "Co-movements of GCC emerging stock markets: New evidence from wavelet coherence analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 421-431.
    40. Ramsey James B., 2002. "Wavelets in Economics and Finance: Past and Future," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 6(3), pages 1-29, November.
    41. Martens, Martin & Poon, Ser-Huang, 2001. "Returns synchronization and daily correlation dynamics between international stock markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(10), pages 1805-1827, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Alqaralleh, Huthaifa & Canepa, Alessandra, 2022. "The role of precious metals in portfolio diversification during the Covid19 pandemic: A wavelet-based quantile approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    2. Esparcia, Carlos & Jareño, Francisco & Umar, Zaghum, 2022. "Revisiting the safe haven role of Gold across time and frequencies during the COVID-19 pandemic," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    3. Jose Arreola Hernandez & Sang Hoon Kang & Seong-Min Yoon, 2022. "Spillovers and portfolio optimization of precious metals and global/regional equity markets," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(20), pages 2320-2342, April.
    4. Abid, Ilyes & Dhaoui, Abderrazak & Kaabia, Olfa & Tarchella, Salma, 2023. "Geopolitical risk on energy, agriculture, livestock, precious and industrial metals: New insights from a Markov Switching model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    5. Yang, Cai & Wang, Xinyi & Gao, Wang, 2022. "Is Bitcoin a better hedging and safe-haven investment than traditional assets against currencies? Evidence from the time-frequency domain approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    6. Dutta, Anupam & Das, Debojyoti & Jana, R.K. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "COVID-19 and oil market crash: Revisiting the safe haven property of gold and Bitcoin," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    7. Awatef Ourir & Elie Bouri & Essahbi Essaadi, 2023. "Hedging the Risks of MENA Stock Markets with Gold: Evidence from the Spectral Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(1), pages 197-231, January.
    8. Mensi, Walid & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "Time and frequency connectedness and network across the precious metal and stock markets: Evidence from top precious metal importers and exporters," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    9. Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Wanas Al-Jarrah, Idries Mohammad & Mensi, Walid & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "Co-movements and spillovers between prices of precious metals and non-ferrous metals: A multiscale analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    10. Cheng, Sheng & Zhang, Zongyou & Cao, Yan, 2022. "Can precious metals hedge geopolitical risk? Fresh sight using wavelet coherence analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    11. Mensi, Walid & Al Rababa'a, Abdel Razzaq & Alomari, Mohammad & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Dynamic frequency volatility spillovers and connectedness between strategic commodity and stock markets: US-based sectoral analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    12. Lahiani, Amine & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & Vasbieva, Dinara G., 2021. "The safe-haven property of precious metal commodities in the COVID-19 era," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    13. Zainudin, Ahmad Danial & Mohamad, Azhar, 2021. "Cross hedging with stock index futures," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 128-144.
    14. Salisu, Afees A. & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Lawal, Adedoyin, 2021. "Hedging oil price risk with gold during COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    15. Hong, Yanran & Ma, Feng & Wang, Lu & Liang, Chao, 2022. "How does the COVID-19 outbreak affect the causality between gold and the stock market? New evidence from the extreme Granger causality test," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tweneboah, George & Owusu Junior, Peterson & Kumah, Seyram Pearl, 2020. "Modelling the asymmetric linkages between spot gold prices and African stocks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    2. Aktham Maghyereh & Basel Awartani & Abul Hassan, 2018. "Can gold be used as a hedge against the risks of Sharia-compliant securities? Application for Islamic portfolio management," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 19(6), pages 394-412, October.
    3. Das, Debojyoti & Bhowmik, Puja & Jana, R.K., 2018. "A multiscale analysis of stock return co-movements and spillovers: Evidence from Pacific developed markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 502(C), pages 379-393.
    4. Ali, Sajid & Raza, Naveed & Vinh Vo, Xuan & Le, Van, 2022. "Modelling the joint dynamics of financial assets using MGARCH family models: Insights into hedging and diversification strategies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    5. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Mishra, Bibhuti Ranjan & Solarin, Sakiru Adebola, 2021. "Analysing the spillovers between crude oil prices, stock prices and metal prices: The importance of frequency domain in USA," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    6. Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Mensi, Walid & Maitra, Debasish & Al-Jarrah, Idries Mohammad Wanas, 2019. "Portfolio management and dependencies among precious metal markets: Evidence from a Copula quantile-on-quantile approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    7. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Hasan, Mudassar & Arif, Muhammad & Suleman, Muhammad Tahir & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Oil and gold as a hedge and safe-haven for metals and agricultural commodities with portfolio implications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    8. Mensi, Walid & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Hoon Kang, Sang, 2017. "Time-varying volatility spillovers between stock and precious metal markets with portfolio implications," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 88-102.
    9. Evrim Mandacı, Pınar & Cagli, Efe Çaglar & Taşkın, Dilvin, 2020. "Dynamic connectedness and portfolio strategies: Energy and metal markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    10. Hoang, Thi-Hong-Van & Zhu, Zhenzhen & El Khamlichi, Abdelbari & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2019. "Does the Shari’ah screening impact the gold-stock nexus? A sectorial analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 617-626.
    11. Ali, Sajid & Bouri, Elie & Czudaj, Robert Lukas & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "Revisiting the valuable roles of commodities for international stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    12. Maghyereh, Aktham I. & Awartani, Basel & Abdoh, Hussein, 2019. "The co-movement between oil and clean energy stocks: A wavelet-based analysis of horizon associations," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 895-913.
    13. Akkoc, Ugur & Civcir, Irfan, 2019. "Dynamic linkages between strategic commodities and stock market in Turkey: Evidence from SVAR-DCC-GARCH model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 231-239.
    14. Baruník, Jozef & Kočenda, Evžen & Vácha, Lukáš, 2016. "Gold, oil, and stocks: Dynamic correlations," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 186-201.
    15. Indranil Ghosh & Manas K. Sanyal & R. K. Jana, 2021. "Co-movement and Dynamic Correlation of Financial and Energy Markets: An Integrated Framework of Nonlinear Dynamics, Wavelet Analysis and DCC-GARCH," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(2), pages 503-527, February.
    16. Walid Chkili, 2015. "Gold–oil prices co-movements and portfolio diversification implications," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 35(4), pages 2832-2845.
    17. Alqaralleh, Huthaifa & Canepa, Alessandra, 2022. "The role of precious metals in portfolio diversification during the Covid19 pandemic: A wavelet-based quantile approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    18. Chkili, Walid, 2016. "Dynamic correlations and hedging effectiveness between gold and stock markets: Evidence for BRICS countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 22-34.
    19. Iglesias-Casal, Ana & López-Penabad, María-Celia & López-Andión, Carmen & Maside-Sanfiz, José Manuel, 2020. "Diversification and optimal hedges for socially responsible investment in Brazil," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 106-118.
    20. Raza, Naveed & Ali, Sajid & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Salman, Aneel, 2019. "Can alternative hedging assets add value to Islamic-conventional portfolio mix: Evidence from MGARCH models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 210-230.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stock markets; Precious metals; G7; BRICS; DCC–GARCH; Wavelet;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:541:y:2020:i:c:s0378437119320242. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.