IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v286y2000i1p353-366.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Introducing False EUR and False EUR exchange rates

Author

Listed:
  • Ausloos, M
  • Ivanova, K

Abstract

The Euro (EUR) is a new currency introduced by the European Community. Its exchange rate is very puzzling. We have invented a false Euro (FEUR) dating back to 1993 and have derived the exchange rates of the FEUR with respect to currencies not belonging to the EUR, i.e., DKK,CHF,JPY and USD. This allows us to search for correlations between the fluctuations preexisting to the introduction of EUR and present ones in such financial data. The detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) statistical method is used. This leads to assume a power-law behavior, i.e., a scaling hypothesis, through an exponent α. The latter has demonstrated its usefulness for the investigations of long-range power-law correlations in several types of financial sequences. Our findings show that the α exponent interestingly characterizes fractional Brownian motion of the currency exchange rates between EUR and DKK over a 25 day interval, and usual Brownian motion otherwise and for the three other investigated exchange rates. We can devise an investment strategy based on the localα technique and obtain appreciable gains for the time being.

Suggested Citation

  • Ausloos, M & Ivanova, K, 2000. "Introducing False EUR and False EUR exchange rates," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 286(1), pages 353-366.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:286:y:2000:i:1:p:353-366
    DOI: 10.1016/S0378-4371(00)00328-9
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437100003289
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/S0378-4371(00)00328-9?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Stoupos, Nikolaos & Kiohos, Apostolos, 2017. "EU unification and linkages among the European currencies: new evidence from the EU and the EEA," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 28-36.
    2. Segnon, Mawuli & Lux, Thomas, 2013. "Multifractal models in finance: Their origin, properties, and applications," Kiel Working Papers 1860, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    3. Matsushita, Raul & Gleria, Iram & Figueiredo, Annibal & Rathie, Pushpa & Da Silva, Sergio, 2004. "Exponentially damped Lévy flights, multiscaling, and exchange rates," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 333(C), pages 353-369.
    4. Rosella Castellano & Roy Cerqueti & Giulia Rotundo, 2020. "Exploring the financial risk of a temperature index: a fractional integrated approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 284(1), pages 225-242, January.
    5. Wang, Dong-Hua & Yu, Xiao-Wen & Suo, Yuan-Yuan, 2012. "Statistical properties of the yuan exchange rate index," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(12), pages 3503-3512.
    6. Mariani, M.C. & Florescu, I. & Beccar Varela, M.P. & Ncheuguim, E., 2010. "Study of memory effects in international market indices," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(8), pages 1653-1664.
    7. Mariani, M.C. & Libbin, J.D. & Kumar Mani, V. & Beccar Varela, M.P. & Erickson, C.A. & Valles-Rosales, D.J., 2008. "Long correlations and Normalized Truncated Levy Models applied to the study of Indian Market Indices in comparison with other emerging markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(5), pages 1273-1282.
    8. Boilard, J.-F. & Kanazawa, K. & Takayasu, H. & Takayasu, M., 2018. "Empirical scaling relations of market event rates in foreign currency market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 509(C), pages 1152-1161.
    9. Sergio Da Silva, 2004. "International Finance, Levy Distributions, and the Econophysics of Exchange Rates," International Finance 0405018, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Mohti, Wahbeeah & Dionísio, Andreia & Vieira, Isabel & Ferreira, Paulo, 2019. "Regional and global integration of Asian stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 357-368.
    11. Sidorov, S.P. & Faizliev, A.R. & Balash, V.A. & Korobov, E.A., 2016. "Long-range correlation analysis of economic news flow intensity," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 444(C), pages 205-212.
    12. Roy Cerqueti & Giulia Rotundo, 2015. "A review of aggregation techniques for agent-based models: understanding the presence of long-term memory," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 49(4), pages 1693-1717, July.
    13. Şahin, Gökhan & Erentürk, Murat & Hacinliyan, Avadis, 2009. "Detrended fluctuation analysis in natural languages using non-corpus parametrization," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 198-205.
    14. Orłowski, A. & Struzik, Z.R. & Syczewska, E. & Załuska-Kotur, M.A., 2004. "Fluctuation dynamics of exchange rates on Polish financial market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 344(1), pages 184-189.
    15. Siqueira, Erinaldo Leite & Stošić, Tatijana & Bejan, Lucian & Stošić, Borko, 2010. "Correlations and cross-correlations in the Brazilian agrarian commodities and stocks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(14), pages 2739-2743.
    16. Celeste, Valerio & Corbet, Shaen & Gurdgiev, Constantin, 2020. "Fractal dynamics and wavelet analysis: Deep volatility and return properties of Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 310-324.
    17. Saha, Debajyoti & Shaw, Pankaj Kumar & Ghosh, Sabuj & Janaki, M.S. & Sekar Iyengar, A.N., 2018. "Quantification of scaling exponent with Crossover type phenomena for different types of forcing in DC glow discharge plasma," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 490(C), pages 300-310.
    18. Guo, Xin-Yu & Guo, Qiang & Li, Ren-De & Liu, Jian-Guo, 2018. "Long-term memory of rating behaviors for the online trust formation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 508(C), pages 254-264.
    19. Raul Matsushita & Andre Santos & Iram Gleria & Annibal Figueiredo & Sergio Da Silva, 2005. "Are Pound and Euro the Same Currency?," International Finance 0505002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Matsushita, Raul & Gleria, Iram & Figueiredo, Annibal & Da Silva, Sergio, 2007. "Are Pound and Euro the Same Currency? - Updated," MPRA Paper 1981, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:286:y:2000:i:1:p:353-366. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.