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Price discovery and asset pricing

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  • Narayan, Paresh Kumar
  • Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach
  • Thuraisamy, Kannan
  • Westerlund, Joakim

Abstract

This paper tests the hypothesis that price discovery influences asset pricing. Our innovations are twofold. First, we estimate time-varying price discovery for a large number (21) of Islamic stock portfolios. Second, we test using a predictive regression model whether or not price discovery predicts stock excess returns. We find from both in-sample and out-of-sample tests that all 21 portfolio excess returns are predictable. We show that a mean-variance investor by tracking price discovery is able to devise profitable trading strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Thuraisamy, Kannan & Westerlund, Joakim, 2016. "Price discovery and asset pricing," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 40(PA), pages 224-235.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:40:y:2016:i:pa:p:224-235
    DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2016.08.009
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    3. Khan, Abdullah & Rizvi, Syed Aun R. & Ali, Mohsin & Haroon, Omair, 2021. "A survey of Islamic finance research – Influences and influencers," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
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    6. Ersan, Oguz & Simsir, Serif Aziz & Simsek, Koray D. & Hasan, Afan, 2021. "The speed of stock price adjustment to corporate announcements: Insights from Turkey," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 47(C).
    7. Li, Wei-Xuan & Chen, Clara Chia-Sheng & Nguyen, James, 2022. "Which market dominates the price discovery in currency futures? The case of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and the Intercontinental Exchange," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    8. Md Hamid Uddin & Sarkar H. Kabir & Mohammad Kabir Hassan & Mohammed S. Hossain & Jia Liu, 2022. "Why do sukuks (Islamic bonds) need a different pricing model?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2210-2234, April.
    9. Zhao, Zhao & Wen, Huwei & Li, Ke, 2021. "Identifying bubbles and the contagion effect between oil and stock markets: New evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 780-788.
    10. Alexakis, Christos & Kenourgios, Dimitris & Pappas, Vasileios & Petropoulou, Athina, 2021. "From dotcom to Covid-19: A convergence analysis of Islamic investments," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    11. Dinh Hoang Bach Phan & Thi Thao Nguyen Nguyen & Dat Thanh Nguyen, 2019. "A Study Of Indonesia’S Stock Market: How Predictable Is It?," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 0(12th BMEB), pages 1-12, January.
    12. Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Sharma, Susan Sunila & Tran, Vuong Thao, 2018. "Can economic policy uncertainty predict stock returns? Global evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 134-150.
    13. Nedumparambil, Elizabeth & Bhandari, Anup Kumar, 2020. "Credit risk – Return puzzle: Evidence from India," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 195-206.
    14. Devpura, Neluka & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Sharma, Susan Sunila, 2018. "Is stock return predictability time-varying?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 152-172.
    15. Michael Nwogugu, 2020. "Regret Theory And Asset Pricing Anomalies In Incomplete Markets With Dynamic Un-Aggregated Preferences," Papers 2005.01709, arXiv.org.
    16. Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2019. "Understanding Indonesia’S City-Level Consumer Price Formation: Implications For Price Stability," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 22(4), pages 405-422.
    17. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach, 2019. "A survey of Islamic banking and finance literature: Issues, challenges and future directions," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 484-496.
    18. Karabiyik, Hande & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Westerlund, Joakim, 2018. "Islamic spot and index futures markets: Where is the price discovery?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 123-133.

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