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Broad-market return persistence and momentum profits

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  • Chow, Ying-Foon
  • Liu, Ming
  • Fan, Xinting

Abstract

Momentum profits are shown to be driven by the broad-market persistence of returns between the formation period and the holding period, which is measured as the slope coefficient of the regression of the cross-section returns in the holding period on the cross-section returns in the formation period. Broad-market persistence offers an understanding on momentum profits from a market-wide perspective that goes beyond the stock-specific continuation of extreme winners and losers as proposed in Jegadeesh and Titman [N. Jegadeesh, S. Titman, Returns to buying winners and selling losers: implication for stock market efficiency, Journal of Finance 48 (1993) 65–91] and Grundy and Martin [B.D. Grundy, S.J. Martin, Understanding the nature of risks and the sources of rewards to momentum investing, Review of Financial Studies 14 (2001) 29–78]. The proposed framework provides an alternative explanation to the inability of widely accepted asset pricing models in explaining momentum profits.

Suggested Citation

  • Chow, Ying-Foon & Liu, Ming & Fan, Xinting, 2008. "Broad-market return persistence and momentum profits," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 78(2), pages 181-188.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:matcom:v:78:y:2008:i:2:p:181-188
    DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2008.01.011
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lo, Andrew W & MacKinlay, A Craig, 1990. "When Are Contrarian Profits Due to Stock Market Overreaction?," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 3(2), pages 175-205.
    2. Conrad, Jennifer & Kaul, Gautam, 1998. "An Anatomy of Trading Strategies," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 11(3), pages 489-519.
    3. Grundy, Bruce D & Martin, J Spencer, 2001. "Understanding the Nature of the Risks and the," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 14(1), pages 29-78.
    4. Narasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman, 2001. "Profitability of Momentum Strategies: An Evaluation of Alternative Explanations," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 56(2), pages 699-720, April.
    5. Jegadeesh, Narasimhan & Titman, Sheridan, 1993. "Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(1), pages 65-91, March.
    6. Narasimhan Jegadeesh, 2002. "Cross-Sectional and Time-Series Determinants of Momentum Returns," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 15(1), pages 143-157, March.
    7. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 1993. "Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 3-56, February.
    8. Jonathan Lewellen, 2002. "Momentum and Autocorrelation in Stock Returns," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 15(2), pages 533-564, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Achim BACKHAUS & Aliya ZHAKANOVA ISIKSAL, 2016. "The Impact of Momentum Factors on Multi Asset Portfolio," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 146-169, December.

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