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Modelling police success in catching burglars in the act

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  • Coupe, R. T.
  • Girling, A. J.

Abstract

This paper is concerned with determining which factors influence the chances of the police catching the domestic burglar in the act. It is based on a 6-month study of 'in progress' burglary,1 funded by the UK Home Office's Policing and Crime Reducing Unit. Data were collected from the police records for the whole of a Regional Police Force. Binary regression models are developed which indicate the relative importance of individual burglary characteristics and the nature of the police response in determining the chance of a successful arrest at, or near, the crime-scene. Adjustments to the resourcing and organisation of police patrolling in order to improve capture rates are likely to prove successful only where burglary circumstances are favourable.

Suggested Citation

  • Coupe, R. T. & Girling, A. J., 2001. "Modelling police success in catching burglars in the act," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 19-27, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jomega:v:29:y:2001:i:1:p:19-27
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    1. Skogan, Wesley G. & Antunes, George E., 1979. "Information, apprehension, and deterrence: Exploring the limits of police productivity," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 217-241.
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    Cited by:

    1. Sukanya Samanta & Goutam Sen & Soumya Kanti Ghosh, 2022. "A literature review on police patrolling problems," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 316(2), pages 1063-1106, September.
    2. Timothy Coupe, Richard & Blake, Laurence, 2005. "The effects of patrol workloads and response strength on arrests at burglary emergencies," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 239-255.

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