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Blockwise empirical likelihood for time series of counts

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  • Wu, Rongning
  • Cao, Jiguo

Abstract

Time series of counts have a wide variety of applications in real life. Analyzing time series of counts requires accommodations for serial dependence, discreteness, and overdispersion of data. In this paper, we extend blockwise empirical likelihood (Kitamura, 1997 [15]) to the analysis of time series of counts under a regression setting. In particular, our contribution is the extension of Kitamura's (1997) [15] method to the analysis of nonstationary time series. Serial dependence among observations is treated nonparametrically using a blocking technique; and overdispersion in count data is accommodated by the specification of a variance-mean relationship. We establish consistency and asymptotic normality of the maximum blockwise empirical likelihood estimator. Simulation studies show that our method has a good finite sample performance. The method is also illustrated by analyzing two real data sets: monthly counts of poliomyelitis cases in the USA and daily counts of non-accidental deaths in Toronto, Canada.

Suggested Citation

  • Wu, Rongning & Cao, Jiguo, 2011. "Blockwise empirical likelihood for time series of counts," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 102(3), pages 661-673, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmvana:v:102:y:2011:i:3:p:661-673
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Francesco Bravo, 2009. "Blockwise generalized empirical likelihood inference for non-linear dynamic moment conditions models," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 12(2), pages 208-231, July.
    2. Daniel J. Nordman & Philipp Sibbertsen & Soumendra N. Lahiri, 2007. "Empirical likelihood confidence intervals for the mean of a long‐range dependent process," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(4), pages 576-599, July.
    3. Richard A. Davis & Rongning Wu, 2009. "A negative binomial model for time series of counts," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 96(3), pages 735-749.
    4. Gourieroux, Christian & Monfort, Alain & Trognon, Alain, 1984. "Pseudo Maximum Likelihood Methods: Applications to Poisson Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 52(3), pages 701-720, May.
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    6. Davidson, James, 1992. "A Central Limit Theorem for Globally Nonstationary Near-Epoch Dependent Functions of Mixing Processes," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 8(3), pages 313-329, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Daniel J. Nordman & Helle Bunzel & Soumendra N. Lahiri, 2012. "A Non-standard Empirical Likelihood for Time Series," CREATES Research Papers 2012-55, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    2. Šárka Hudecová & Marie Hušková & Simos G. Meintanis, 2017. "Tests for Structural Changes in Time Series of Counts," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 44(4), pages 843-865, December.
    3. Feifan Jiang & Lihong Wang, 2018. "Adjusted blockwise empirical likelihood for long memory time series models," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 27(2), pages 319-332, June.
    4. Wu, Rongning, 2012. "On variance estimation in a negative binomial time series regression model," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 145-155.
    5. Chioneso S. Marange & Yongsong Qin & Raymond T. Chiruka & Jesca M. Batidzirai, 2023. "A Blockwise Empirical Likelihood Test for Gaussianity in Stationary Autoregressive Processes," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-20, February.

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