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Identifying banking crises using money market pressure: New evidence for a large set of countries

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  • Jing, Zhongbo
  • de Haan, Jakob
  • Jacobs, Jan
  • Yang, Haizhen

Abstract

We construct a money market pressure index based on central bank reserves and the short-term nominal interest rate to identify banking crises, thereby extending the index proposed by Von Hagen and Ho (2007), also in terms of the number of countries covered. We compare the crises identified by both indices with crises according to Laeven and Valencia. Both indices identify more crises than the Laeven–Valencia database. The crises identified by our index are more in line with the Laeven–Valencia crises than those identified by the Von Hagen–Ho index, while our index also gives fewer ‘false’ signals.

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  • Jing, Zhongbo & de Haan, Jakob & Jacobs, Jan & Yang, Haizhen, 2015. "Identifying banking crises using money market pressure: New evidence for a large set of countries," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 1-20.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:43:y:2015:i:c:p:1-20
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2014.09.001
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    4. Filip, Bogdan Florin, 2014. "Financial-Monetary Instability Factors within the Framework of the Recent Crisis in Romania," Working Papers of National Institute for Economic Research 141213, Institutul National de Cercetari Economice (INCE).
    5. Jon Frost & Hiro Ito & René van Stralen, 2020. "The effectiveness of macroprudential policies and capital controls against volatile capital inflows," BIS Working Papers 867, Bank for International Settlements.
    6. Kim Abildgren, 2017. "Determinants of banks’ capital structure in the Pre-Regulation Era," European Review of Economic History, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(1), pages 64-82.
    7. Duprey, Thibaut & Klaus, Benjamin & Peltonen, Tuomas, 2017. "Dating systemic financial stress episodes in the EU countries," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 30-56.
    8. Anna Sznajderska, 2016. "Wpływ sposobu zarządzania płynnością, premii za ryzyko i oczekiwań na stopy rynku międzybankowego w Polsce," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 47(1), pages 61-90.
    9. Sana Zidi & Boutheina Regaieg & Nessrine Hamzaoui, 2021. "The Determinants of the European Banking Crisis," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 11(4), pages 115-122.
    10. Christopher Gandrud & Mark Hallerberg, 2015. "What is a Financial Crisis? Efficiently Measuring Real-Time Perceptions of Financial Market Stress with an Application to Financial Crisis Budget Cycles," CESifo Working Paper Series 5632, CESifo.
    11. Jing, Zhongbo, 2015. "On the relation between currency and banking crises in developing countries, 1980–2010," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 267-291.
    12. Vincent BouvatierBy, 2017. "The frequency of banking crises in a dynamic setting: a discrete-time duration approach," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 69(4), pages 1078-1100.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Banking crises; Money market pressure index;

    JEL classification:

    • C43 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Index Numbers and Aggregation
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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