Modelling non-linear comovements between time series
AbstractThe main objective of this paper is to employ a new dynamic model that combines the bivariate noisy Mackey-Glass recently proposed by Kyrtsou and Labys [Kyrtsou, C., Labys, W., 2006. Evidence for chaotic dependence between US inflation and commodity prices. Journal of Macroeconomics 28(1), 256-266; Kyrtsou, C., Labys, W., 2007. Detecting positive feedback in multivariate time series: the case of metal prices and US inflation. Physica A 377(1), 227-229.] and the BEKK Garch processes. An empirical exercise using the US effective Federal fund rates and 3-month T-Bill rates will show that for specific time periods the comovements between series are due to inherent non-linear deterministic dynamics.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Macroeconomics.
Volume (Year): 31 (2009)
Issue (Month): 1 (March)
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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/622617
BEKK Garch and Mackey-Glass processes Structural changes Comovements Interest rates Non-linear dynamics;
Other versions of this item:
- Catherine Kyrtsou & Costas Vorlow, 2008. "Modelling non-linear comovements between time series," Working Papers 2008_01, Durham University Business School.
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models
- C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models
- E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
- E59 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Other
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