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The dollar in the turmoil

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  • Bénassy-Quéré, Agnès
  • Béreau, Sophie
  • Mignon, Valérie

Abstract

We study the impact of the global financial crisis on the equilibrium exchange rate of the US dollar. We first simulate the impact of the crisis on the US net foreign asset position. Then, we calculate the equilibrium value of the dollar according both to a BEER and to a FEER approach. We find the case for a strong, although temporary, depreciation of the dollar even more acute than before the crisis. This suggests that the strength of the dollar in late 2008 and early 2009 may be short-lived.

Suggested Citation

  • Bénassy-Quéré, Agnès & Béreau, Sophie & Mignon, Valérie, 2009. "The dollar in the turmoil," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 427-436, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jjieco:v:23:y:2009:i:4:p:427-436
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    4. Olivier Blanchard & Francesco Giavazzi & Filipa Sa, 2005. "International Investors, the U.S. Current Account, and the Dollar," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 36(1), pages 1-66.
    5. Mr. Peter Isard & Mr. Hamid Faruqee, 1998. "Exchange Rate Assessment: Extension of the Macroeconomic Balance Approach," IMF Occasional Papers 1998/012, International Monetary Fund.
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    Cited by:

    1. Robert N McCauley & Patrick McGuire, 2009. "Dollar appreciation in 2008: safe haven, carry trades, dollar shortage and overhedging," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Equilibrium exchange rate Global imbalances Crisis Valuation effects;

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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