What causes exchange rate volatility? Evidence from selected EMU members and candidates for EMU membership countries
AbstractWe allow for monetary, real, and financial variables to assess the relevant importance of each of the variables to exchange rate volatility in the case of selected EMU members and candidate countries. Ex-ante analysis shows that volatility in the Polish zloty/euro and the Hungarian forint/euro forex markets can be influenced by the monetary-side of the economy. On the other hand, ex-post analysis shows that forex markets in France, Italy and Spain had been influenced, during the pre-EMU era, by monetary and real shocks. However, the Irish pound exchange rate per ECU had been affected by only real shocks.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of International Money and Finance.
Volume (Year): 30 (2011)
Issue (Month): 1 (February)
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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/30443
Exchange rate volatility Bivariate GARCH Volatility spillover;
Other versions of this item:
- Nikolaos Giannellis & Athanasios Papadopoulos, 2009. "What causes exchange rate volatility? Evidence from selected EMU members and candidates for EMU membership countries," Working Papers 1004, University of Crete, Department of Economics, revised 08 Jan 2010.
- C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models
- E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
- F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
- F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
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