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Effects of financial autarky and integration: The case of the South Africa embargo

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  • Coulibaly, Brahima

Abstract

The paper interprets the imposition in 1985 and removal in 1993 of the embargo on South Africa as financial autarky and financial integration 'natural experiments', and studies the effects on the economy. The aggregate data indicate a decrease in the levels and growth rates of investment, capital, and output during the embargo period relative to the pre-embargo and post-embargo periods. To further rationalize these findings, we calibrate a neoclassical growth model to the economy. During the transition to steady state, we limit the country's ability to borrow for a period corresponding to the duration of the embargo. The derived dynamics for investment, capital, and output support the findings of a positive (negative) link between financial integration (isolation) and economic growth.

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  • Coulibaly, Brahima, 2009. "Effects of financial autarky and integration: The case of the South Africa embargo," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 454-478, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:28:y:2009:i:3:p:454-478
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    Cited by:

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    2. Asongu Simplice, 2013. "Globalization and Financial Market Contagion: Evidence from Financial Crisis and Natural Disasters," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 13/035, African Governance and Development Institute..
    3. Simplice A ASONGU, 2012. "Globalization Financial Crisis And Contagion Time Dynamic Evidence From Financial Markets Of Developing Countries," Journal of Advanced Studies in Finance, ASERS Publishing, vol. 3(2), pages 131-139.
    4. Bank for International Settlements, 2009. "Capital flows and emerging market economies," CGFS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 33, december.
    5. Asongu Simplice, 2011. "The 2011 Japanese earthquake, tsunami and nuclear crisis: evidence of contagion from international financial markets," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 11/006, African Governance and Development Institute..
    6. repec:pra:mprapa:39629 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Anna Miromanova, 2023. "The effectiveness of embargoes: Evidence from Russia," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(4), pages 906-940, April.
    8. Coulibaly Brahima & Millar Jonathan N., 2011. "The "Elusive" Capital-User Cost Elasticity Revisited," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-41, September.
    9. Ali Moghaddasi Kelishomi & Roberto Nisticò, 2021. "Employment Effects of Economic Sanctions," CSEF Working Papers 615, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
    10. Olga A. Kusraeva & Vera A. Rebiazina, 2021. "Agribusiness Changes Caused by the Russian Food Embargo: An Interfirm Relationships Perspective," Tržište/Market, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, vol. 33(1), pages 7-24.

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