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Assessing the economic costs of a foot and mouth disease outbreak on Brittany: A dynamic computable general equilibrium analysis

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  • Gohin, Alexandre
  • Rault, Arnaud
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    Abstract

    Outbreaks of animal diseases such as foot and mouth disease (FMD) are of great concern for agriculture. In this paper, we quantify the potential dynamic impacts of such a disease on Brittany, a French region with an important livestock sector. In order to do this, we develop a dynamic computable general equilibrium model that allows us to measure the impacts on the livestock sectors and downstream food industries. We study the impacts of a FMD outbreak including the culling infected animals, a temporary decline in demand, and restrictions on movements of live animals and meats during the FMD outbreak period.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Food Policy.

    Volume (Year): 39 (2013)
    Issue (Month): C ()
    Pages: 97-107

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    Handle: RePEc:eee:jfpoli:v:39:y:2013:i:c:p:97-107

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    Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/foodpol

    Related research

    Keywords: Dynamics; CGE; Animal disease; Catastrophic event;

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    1. Lence, Sergio H., 2008. "Do Futures Benefit Farmers?," Staff General Research Papers 12919, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    2. Paarlberg, Philip L. & Hillberg, Ann & Lee, John G. & Mathews, Kenneth H., Jr., 2008. "Economic Impacts of Foreign Animal Disease," Economic Research Report 56453, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
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    7. Karl M. Rich & Alex Winter-Nelson, 2007. "An Integrated Epidemiological-Economic Analysis of Foot and Mouth Disease: Applications to the Southern Cone of South America," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 89(3), pages 682-697.
    8. St├ęphane Blancard & Jean-Philippe Boussemart & Walter Briec & Kristiaan Kerstens, 2005. "Short- and Long-Run Credit Constraints in French Agriculture: A Directional Distance Function Framework Using Expenditure-Constrained Profit Functions," Working Papers 2005-ECO-02, IESEG School of Management.
    9. Keen, Michael, 1990. "Welfare analysis and intertemporal substitution," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 47-66, June.
    10. M.-J. J. Mangen & A. M. Burrell, 2003. "Who gains, who loses? Welfare effects of classical swine fever epidemics in the Netherlands," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Foundation for the European Review of Agricultural Economics, vol. 30(2), pages 125-154, June.
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    12. George Philippidis & Lionel Hubbard, 2005. "A Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Treatment of the Ban on UK Beef Exports: A Note," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 56(2), pages 307-312.
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