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Commodity prices, trade, and poverty in Uruguay

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  • Estrades, Carmen
  • Terra, María Inés

Abstract

The 2006–2008 food price spike raised concerns about the impact of high commodity prices on poverty in developing countries. This paper addresses these concerns in relation to Uruguay, a small country that exports agricultural commodities and imports fuels. Applying a general equilibrium model, we find that, as a whole, an increase in commodity prices has a positive effect on the economy of Uruguay. Benefits obtained through a growth in export activities are partially outweighed by an increase in crude oil prices. In this context, extreme poverty increases. As in other countries, the increase in food prices affects the already poor population, who become even poorer. This fact highlights the need for policies that mitigate the negative effects of price shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Estrades, Carmen & Terra, María Inés, 2012. "Commodity prices, trade, and poverty in Uruguay," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 58-66.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jfpoli:v:37:y:2012:i:1:p:58-66
    DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2011.11.007
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    6. David Dawe, 2014. "Transmission of global food prices, supply response and impacts on the poor," Chapters, in: Raghbendra Jha & Raghav Gaiha & Anil B. Deolalikar (ed.), Handbook on Food, chapter 5, pages 100-121, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    7. van Ruijven, Bas J. & O’Neill, Brian C. & Chateau, Jean, 2015. "Methods for including income distribution in global CGE models for long-term climate change research," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 530-543.
    8. Adämmer, Philipp & Bohl, Martin T., 2015. "Speculative bubbles in agricultural prices," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 67-76.
    9. Maurizio Bussolo & Patrizia Luongo, 2020. "The distributive impact of terms of trade shocks: The case of the oil price changes in Russia," Economics of Transition and Institutional Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 28(3), pages 487-513, July.
    10. Bakari, Sayef & Sofien, Tiba, 2019. "Does Agricultural Trade promote Chinese economic growth? ARDL Approach," MPRA Paper 94614, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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