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The real effects of credit default swaps

Author

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  • Danis, András
  • Gamba, Andrea

Abstract

We examine the effect of introducing credit default swaps (CDSs) on firm value. Our model allows for dynamic investment and financing, and bondholders can trade in the CDS market. The model incorporates both negative and positive effects of CDSs. CDS markets lead to more liquidations, but they also reduce the probability of costly debt renegotiation and reduce costly equity financing. After calibrating the model, we find that firm value increases by 2.9% on average with the introduction of a CDS market. Firms also invest more and increase leverage. The effect on firm value is strongest for small, financially constrained, and low productivity firms.

Suggested Citation

  • Danis, András & Gamba, Andrea, 2018. "The real effects of credit default swaps," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(1), pages 51-76.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jfinec:v:127:y:2018:i:1:p:51-76
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2017.10.005
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Osano, Hiroshi, 2020. "Credit default swaps and market information," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    2. Chengzhu Sun & Shujing Wang & Chu Zhang, 2021. "Corporate Payout Policy and Credit Risk: Evidence from Credit Default Swap Markets," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(9), pages 5755-5775, September.
    3. Jiao, Feng & Zhang, Chuanqian, 2022. "Lumpy investment and credit risk," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    4. Li, Jay Y. & Tang, Dragon Yongjun, 2022. "Product market competition with CDS," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    5. Kiesel, Florian & Kolaric, Sascha & Norden, Lars & Schiereck, Dirk, 2021. "To change or not to change? The CDS market response of firms on credit watch," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    6. Caterina Di Tommaso, 2022. "Securitization and CDS in U.S. bank lending," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 1120-1133, January.
    7. Vishaal Baulkaran & Pawan Jain, 2023. "CDS contract initiations: REIT board monitoring and corporate decision outcomes," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 46(1), pages 217-246, February.
    8. Hans Degryse & Yalin Gündüz & Kuchulain O'Flynn & Steven Ongena, 2020. "Identifying Empty Creditors with a Shock and Micro-Data," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 20-15, Swiss Finance Institute.
    9. Naceur Essaddam & Miran Hossain & Tashfeen Hussain, 2023. "Do credit default swaps impact lenders’ monitoring of loans?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 567-600, August.
    10. Silaghi, Florina & Martín-Oliver, Alfredo & Sewaid, Ahmed, 2022. "The CDS market reaction to loan renegotiation announcements," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    11. R. Matthew Darst & Ehraz Refayet, 2018. "Credit Default Swaps in General Equilibrium: Endogenous Default and Credit‐Spread Spillovers," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(8), pages 1901-1933, December.
    12. Tak-Yuen Wong & Jin Yu, 2022. "Credit Default Swaps and Debt Overhang," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(3), pages 2069-2097, March.
    13. Söhnke M Bartram & Jennifer Conrad & Jongsub Lee & Marti G Subrahmanyam, 2022. "Credit Default Swaps around the World," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 35(5), pages 2464-2524.
    14. Shanuka Senarath & Pelma Rajapakse & Jan Job de Vries Robbé & Naveen Wickremeratne & Maduka Subasinghage, 2022. "Being Naked - et Quo hinc ?: Developing a ‘Skin-in-the-Game’ Solution for Credit Default Swaps," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-14, October.
    15. Clark, Brian & Donato, James & Francis, Bill B & Shohfi, Thomas D, 2023. "Bank loan renegotiation and credit default swaps," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    16. Andrea Gamba & Alessio Saretto, 2020. "Growth Options and Credit Risk," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(9), pages 4269-4291, September.
    17. Hossain Mohammad Reyad & Mohd Ashhari Zariyawati & Tze San Ong & Haslinah Muhamad, 2022. "The Impact of Macroeconomic Risk Factors, the Adoption of Financial Derivatives on Working Capital Management, and Firm Performance," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-19, November.
    18. Wu, Dexiang & Dash Wu, Desheng, 2019. "An enhanced decision support approach for learning and tracking derivative index," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 63-76.
    19. Sarkar, Sudipto & Zhang, Chuanqian, 2020. "Investment and financing decisions with learning-curve technology," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    20. A. Hong, Hyun & Lobo, Gerald J. & Ryou, Ji Woo, 2019. "Financial market development and firm investment in tax avoidance: Evidence from credit default swap market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 1-1.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Credit default swaps; CDS; Empty creditor; Restructuring; Bankruptcy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation
    • G34 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Mergers; Acquisitions; Restructuring; Corporate Governance

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