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The wisdom of the minority

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Author Info
Callander, Steven
Hörner, Johannes

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Abstract

We consider a simple variant of the canonical model of social learning and show that in many situations it is optimal for an agent to abandon her own information and follow the minority rather than the majority. This possibility depends on two economically meaningful requirements: agents are differentially informed and observe only the number of agents having chosen each option, such as consumers observing only market shares. We show that minority wisdom arises when information is sufficiently heterogeneous and the well informed are not overly abundant, yet the conditions necessary are not overly restrictive. In fact, it is possible for the minority to be wise even when the minority consists of a lone dissenter and a majority of citizens are well informed.

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6WJ3-4VT0X9W-1/2/6b1ce50fbb9920933ab09e560cab411d
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Economic Theory.

Volume (Year): 144 (2009)
Issue (Month): 4 (July)
Pages: 1421-1439.e2
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Handle: RePEc:eee:jetheo:v:144:y:2009:i:4:p:1421-1439.e2

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/622869

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Related research
Keywords: Social learning Minorities Herding;

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Cited by:
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  1. Daron Acemoglu & Munther A. Dahleh & Ilan Lobel & Asuman Ozdaglar, 2008. "Bayesian Learning in Social Networks," NBER Working Papers 14040, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Christoph Brunner & Jacob K. Goeree, 2009. "Wise crowds or wise minorities?," IEW - Working Papers iewwp439, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - IEW. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-3.


This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Department of Economics, College of Liberal Arts and Sciences, University of Connecticut using RePEc data on a server sponsored by the Society for Economic Dynamics.