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The performance of alternative forecasting methods for SETAR models

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Author Info
Clements, Michael P.
Smith, Jeremy

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File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6V92-3SX4NTF-3/2/5f0d8bdcb87864d5026555e0bdc03929
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Article provided by Elsevier in its journal International Journal of Forecasting.

Volume (Year): 13 (1997)
Issue (Month): 4 (December)
Pages: 463-475
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Handle: RePEc:eee:intfor:v:13:y:1997:i:4:p:463-475

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  1. Manzan, S. & Zerom, D., 2005. "A Multi-Step Forecast Density," CeNDEF Working Papers 05-05, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance. [Downloadable!]
  2. Lanne, Markku, 1999. "Testing the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in the Presence of a Potential Regime Shift," Research Discussion Papers 20/1999, Bank of Finland. [Downloadable!]
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  3. David McMillan, 2008. "Non-linear cointegration and adjustment: an asymmetric exponential smooth-transition model for US interest rates," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 591-606, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Duarte, A. & Venetis, I. & Payá, I., 2004. "Curva de rendimientos y crecimiento de la producción real en la UEM: eficiencia y estabilidad predictiva./Yield Curve and Real Output Growth in the EMU: Efficiency and Predictive Stability," Estudios de Economía Aplicada, Estudios de Economía Aplicada, vol. 22, pages 21, Abril. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Hui Feng & Jia Liu, 2002. "A SETAR Model for Canadian GDP: Non-Linearities and Forecast Comparisons," Econometrics Working Papers 0206, Department of Economics, University of Victoria. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Michael J. Dueker & Martin Sola & Fabio Spagnolo, 2006. "Contemporaneous threshold autoregressive models: estimation, testing and forecasting," Working Papers 2003-024, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Gianna Boero & Emanuela Marrocu, 2002. "The performance of Setar Models: a regime conditional evaluation of point, interval and density forecasts," Working Paper CRENoS 200208, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia. [Downloadable!]
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  8. M.P. Clements & Ph.H.B.F. Franses & J. Smith, 1999. "On SETAR non-linearity and forecasting," Econometric Institute Report 141, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
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  9. Massimo Guidolin & Carrie Fangzhou Na, 2007. "The economic and statistical value of forecast combinations under regime switching: an application to predictable U.S. returns," Working Papers 2006-059, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
  10. Leonardo Souza & Alvaro Veiga & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2002. "Evaluating the performance of GARCH models using White´s Reality Check," Textos para discussão 453, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil). [Downloadable!]
  11. D. van Dijk & T. Terasvirta & P.H. Franses, 2000. "Smooth transition autoregressive models - A survey of recent developments," Econometric Institute Report 200, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
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  12. Pedro M.D.C.B. Gouveia & Denise R. Osborn & Paulo M.M. Rodrigues, 2008. "Comparing Seasonal Forecasts of Industrial Production," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 102, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester. [Downloadable!]
  13. Gianna Boero & Emanuela Marrocu, 2001. "Evaluating non-linear models on point and interval forecasts: an application with exchange rate returns," Working Paper CRENoS 200110, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia. [Downloadable!]
  14. Holt, Matthew T. & Craig, Lee A., 2006. "AJAE Appendix: Nonlinear Dynamics and Structural Change in the U.S. Hog-Corn Ratio: A Time-Varying Star Approach," American Journal of Agricultural Economics Appendices, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 88(1), February. [Downloadable!]
  15. P. Rothman & D.J.C. van Dijk & P.H.B.F. Franses, 1999. "A multivariate STAR analysis of the relationship between money and output," Econometric Institute Report 170, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
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  16. Gianna Boero & Emanuela Marrocu, 2000. "La performance di modelli non lineari per i tassi di cambio: un'applicazione con dati a diversa frequenza," Working Paper CRENoS 200014, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia. [Downloadable!]
  17. Crespo-Cuaresma, Jesus, 2000. "Forecasting European GDP Using Self-Exciting Threshold Autoregressive Models. A Warning," Economics Series 79, Institute for Advanced Studies. [Downloadable!]
  18. David Peel & Ivan Paya & E Pavlidis, 2009. "Forecasting the Real Exchange Rate using a Long Span of Data. A Rematch: Linear vs Nonlinear," Working Papers 006075, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
  19. Saikkonen, Pentti & Ripatti, Antti, 1999. "On the Estimation of Euler Equations in the Presence of a Potential Regime Shift," Research Discussion Papers 6/1999, Bank of Finland. [Downloadable!]
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  20. N Terui & HK van Dijk, 1999. "Combined forecasts from linear and nonlinear time series models," Econometric Institute Report 172, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
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