Post-earnings announcement abnormal return in the Chinese equity market
AbstractThis study examines the profitability of trading on earnings surprises in the post-earnings-announcement period in the Chinese stock market from 1994 to 2009. We find that a post-earnings-announcement drift (PEAD) anomaly exists in China. When earnings surprise is defined relative to analyst forecasts, a hedge strategy of going long the top quintile of earnings surprise stocks and short the bottom quintile of earnings surprise stocks can generate around 9.5% excess return in 1 year following the earnings announcements. When earnings surprise is defined relative to time-series model forecasts, a hedge strategy of going long the top quintile of earnings surprise stocks and short the bottom quintile of earnings surprise stocks can generate around 9% excess return in 1 year following the earnings announcements. The return from trading on earnings surprise is robust to the inclusion of beta, firm size, book-to-market ratio, momentum, liquidity and transaction cost measures, state ownership, cross-listing and accounting standards. There is evidence that the magnitude of PEAD increases in the level of arbitrage risk and decreases in the level of foreign ownership. We also find that PEAD is strongly related to firms’ future financial performance.
Download InfoIf you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money.
Volume (Year): 21 (2011)
Issue (Month): 5 ()
Contact details of provider:
Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/intfin
Anomalies; Post-earnings announcement drift; Arbitrage risk;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
- G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
- G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
- M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting - - Accounting - - - Accounting
You can help add them by filling out this form.
reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.Access and download statisticsgeneral information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Zhang, Lei).
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.