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A valuation formula for LDC debt

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  • Cohen, Daniel

Abstract

This paper gives a valuation formula for LDC debt that is used to assess: i) the price at which a buy-back of the debt is advantageous to the country (we shall see that it is likely to be half the observed market price); ii) the value to the creditors of having the flows of payment guaranteed against the extrinsic stochastic disturbance faced by the country (we shall see that it may not exceed 25%); iii) the trade-off between growth of payments and levels of payments (we show that a 1% additional growth rate is worth a 15% increase of the flows). We offer finally an assessment of the Mexican agreement reached in early 1990.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of International Economics.

Volume (Year): 34 (1993)
Issue (Month): 1-2 (February)
Pages: 167-180

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Handle: RePEc:eee:inecon:v:34:y:1993:i:1-2:p:167-180

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/505552

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References

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  1. Claessens, Stijn & van Wijnbergen, Sweder, 1990. "Secondary Market Prices Under Alternative Debt Reduction Schemes: An Option Pricing Approach with an Application to Mexico," CEPR Discussion Papers 415, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  2. Michael P. Dooley, 1988. "Buy-Backs and Market Valuation of External Debt," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 35(2), pages 215-229, June.
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Cited by:
  1. Miller, Marcus & Zhang, Lei, 1998. "Sovereign Liquidity Crises: the Strategic Case for a Payments Standstill," CEPR Discussion Papers 1820, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  2. Kim Oosterlinck & Loredana Ureche-Rangau, 2005. "Entre la peste et le choléra: le détenteur d'obligations peut préférer la répudiation au défaut," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/6693, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  3. Claessens, Stijn & van Wijnbergen, Sweder, 1990. "An option - pricing approach to secondary market debt : applied to Mexico," Policy Research Working Paper Series 333, The World Bank.
  4. van Wijnbergen, Sweder, 1990. "Mexico's external debt restructuring in 1989-90," Policy Research Working Paper Series 424, The World Bank.
  5. Hayri, Aydin, 1997. "Debt Relief," CEPR Discussion Papers 1701, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  6. Loredana Ureche-Rangau & Kim Oosterlinck, 2005. "Entre la peste et le choléra : le détenteur d’obligations peut préférer la répudiation au défaut…," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, vol. 79(2), pages 309-331.
  7. Ramcharran, Harri, 1999. "The determinants of secondary market prices for developing country loans: the impact of country risk," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 173-186.

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