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European monetary integration and persistance of real exchange rates

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  • Gadea, Maria Dolores
  • Gracia, Ana Belen

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to analyze whether the persistence properties of the European real exchange rates changed when their currencies joined the euro or during the monetary integration process. More specifically, we investigate whether, as a result of the single currency or the previous macroeconomic stability, nominal price rigidities have decreased and the persistence of real exchange has fallen. We test for stationarity against a change in the integration order on different competitiveness measures during the period that runs from the middle of the seventies to nowadays. The results show that the real exchange rates of the European periphery (Spain, Italy, Portugal, Greece and Finland) underwent a change in their order of integration from I(1) to I(0) at some time around the middle of the 1990s. On the other hand, the real exchange rates of the Central European countries, with a greater stability in the 1980s and 1990s, changed their integration order earlier, if at all, mostly during the 1980s. So, the euro seems to have had, on the whole, little influence on the persistence of real exchange rates. Only for a few countries do our findings detect a significant decrease in persistence related with the nominal convergence process.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Finance Research Letters.

Volume (Year): 6 (2009)
Issue (Month): 4 (December)
Pages: 242-249

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Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:6:y:2009:i:4:p:242-249

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl

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Keywords: European real exchange rates Changes in the order of integration;

References

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  1. Reinhart, Carmen & Rogoff, Kenneth, 2004. "The modern history of exchange rate arrangements: A reinterpretation," MPRA Paper 14070, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Gawon Yoon, 2008. "Further evidence on purchasing power parity over two centuries with multiple changes in persistence," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(14), pages 1093-1096.
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  7. Frankel, Jeffrey A. & Rose, Andrew K., 1995. "Empirical research on nominal exchange rates," Handbook of International Economics, in: G. M. Grossman & K. Rogoff (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 33, pages 1689-1729 Elsevier.
  8. Alan M. Taylor, 2000. "A Century of Purchasing-Power Parity," NBER Working Papers 8012, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  9. Jeffrey A. Frankel and Andrew K. Rose., 1995. "A Survey of Empirical Research on Nominal Exchange Rates," Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers C95-051, University of California at Berkeley.
  10. Ana Belen Gracia Andia & Maria Dolores Gadea Rivas & Jose Maria Serrano Sanz, 2006. "The effects of macroeconomic stability on foreign trade. An analysis for Spain, 1986-2000," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(17), pages 2021-2036.
  11. Kanas, Angelos & Genius, Margarita, 2005. "Regime (non)stationarity in the US/UK real exchange rate," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 87(3), pages 407-413, June.
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Cited by:
  1. Robinson Kruse, 2010. "On European monetary integration and the persistence of real effective exchange rates," CREATES Research Papers 2010-26, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.

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