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Media sentiment and CDS spread spillovers: Evidence from the GIIPS countries

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  • Apergis, Nicholas
  • Lau, Marco Chi Keung
  • Yarovaya, Larisa

Abstract

This study explores the role of newswire messages during the European debt crisis. It quantifies how this news metric, revealed by statements recorded by newspapers articles, affects CDS spillovers across five European countries with sovereign debt problems and strict bail-out programs, i.e. Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, and Spain with daily data spanning the period 2009–2012. Using panel ARDL and asymmetric conditional volatility modeling methods, the empirical findings document that the news variable generates significant spillover effects across the underlined CDS markets. These findings cast a cloudy doubt on the effectiveness of economic modeling on which CDS spreads are based.

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  • Apergis, Nicholas & Lau, Marco Chi Keung & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2016. "Media sentiment and CDS spread spillovers: Evidence from the GIIPS countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 50-59.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:47:y:2016:i:c:p:50-59
    DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2016.06.010
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    3. Jiasha Fu & Hui Qiao, 2022. "The Time-Varying Connectedness Between China’s Crude Oil Futures and International Oil Markets: A Return and Volatility Spillover Analysis," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 341-376, December.
    4. Konstantinos Gkillas & Paraskevi Katsiampa & Dimitrios I. Vortelinos & Mark E. Wohar, 2023. "Greek government‐debt crisis events and European financial markets: News surprises on Greek bond yields and inter‐relations of European financial markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 4037-4054, October.
    5. Jamal Bouoiyour, Refk Selmi, 2019. "Brexit and CDS spillovers across UK and Europe," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 16(1), pages 105-124, June.
    6. Consoli, Sergio & Pezzoli, Luca Tiozzo & Tosetti, Elisa, 2021. "Emotions in macroeconomic news and their impact on the European bond market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    7. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Filis, George, 2017. "Oil shocks and stock markets: Dynamic connectedness under the prism of recent geopolitical and economic unrest," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 1-26.
    8. Yarovaya, Larisa & Brzeszczyński, Janusz & Goodell, John W. & Lucey, Brian & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2022. "Rethinking financial contagion: Information transmission mechanism during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    9. Hirsch, Patrick & Köhler, Ekkehard A. & Feld, Lars P. & Thomas, Tobias, 2020. ""Whatever it takes!": How tonality of TV-news affects government bond yield spreads during crises," Freiburg Discussion Papers on Constitutional Economics 20/9, Walter Eucken Institut e.V..
    10. Wang, Gang-Jin & Xie, Chi & Zhao, Longfeng & Jiang, Zhi-Qiang, 2018. "Volatility connectedness in the Chinese banking system: Do state-owned commercial banks contribute more?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 205-230.
    11. Philipp Mohl & Gilles Mourre & Sven Langedijk & Martijn Hoogeland, 2021. "Does Media Visibility Make EU Fiscal Rules More Effective?," European Economy - Discussion Papers 155, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    12. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi, 2018. "Brexit and CDS spillovers across UK and Europe," Working Papers hal-01736525, HAL.
    13. Wang, Qunwei & Liu, Mengmeng & Xiao, Ling & Dai, Xingyu & Li, Matthew C. & Wu, Fei, 2022. "Conditional sovereign CDS in market basket risk scenario: A dynamic vine-copula analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).

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