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Trends and cycles in regional economic growth

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  • Henning, Martin
  • Enflo, Kerstin
  • Andersson, Fredrik N.G.

Abstract

Using a novel dataset of regional GDP per worker from 1860 to 2009, this paper analyzes communalities in regional long-term growth trajectories for 24 Swedish regions. Wavelet Analysis and Principal Component Analysis are used to decompose regional growth trajectories and assess the extent that regional growth patterns share common trends and cyclical properties. The study found that regional growth trends show strong common features among groups of regions in Sweden. Natural-resource-rich regions benefited from the First Industrial Revolution. Contrary to regional development in many other European economies, a growth surge in Sweden later benefited virtually the whole country during the Second Industrial Revolution. The countrywide trend of growth slowed in the 1970s when the metropolitan regions became the main growth engines. In mid- and short-term cyclical movements, regions display more heterogeneous growth patterns, and we find evidence of mid-term, sequential lead–lag patterns in regional growth, especially between urban cores and the periphery.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Explorations in Economic History.

Volume (Year): 48 (2011)
Issue (Month): 4 ()
Pages: 538-555

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Handle: RePEc:eee:exehis:v:48:y:2011:i:4:p:538-555

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/622830

Related research

Keywords: Economic history; Economic geography; Regional growth; Wavelet analysis; Sweden;

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Cited by:
  1. José Aguilar-Retureta, 2014. "The GDP per capita of the Mexican regions (1895-1930): new estimates," Documentos de Trabajo (DT-AEHE) 1415, Asociación Española de Historia Económica.
  2. Enflo, Kerstin & Rosés, Joan, 2012. "Coping with Regional Inequality in Sweden: Structural Change, Migrations and Policy, 1860-2000," Lund Papers in Economic History, Department of Economic History, Lund University 122, Department of Economic History, Lund University.

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  1. Historical Economic Geography

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